Monday Empire Report

soaofny • April 3, 2023

The Empire Report - Monday, April 3, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (4) DELIGHTFUL DUDE N was a sharp first over winner 3 back - had plenty of pace finishing

in his next (after sitting last) and was good again last week from a very difficult spot - could pull off a mild

upset in the opener if the trip goes his way. (1) FAMILY RECIPE was stuck racing first over vs. better last

week and can probably be forgiven for tiring in the lane - looking at a much easier trip tonight, and looms a

major danger from the pole. (3) BB LUCKY BOY was 4 for 4 here as a 3YO and showed a ton of speed -

has struggled so far since returning from some time off but looked a bit better last week - couldn't blame

anybody looking to take a shot with him tonight, if the price is right. (2) BUDDY HILL got to cut the mile

vs. cheaper last week and reported home a winner - has more than enough back class to handle tonight's

jump, and is a very viable player for exotics. (5) CAPTIVATE HANOVER was 0 for 15 here last year but

does have 2 wins from 8 starts already this year (and hit board in 7 of 8) - goes for a new barn tonight

(while exiting claimers) and we'll see how well he fits. (6) QUALITY BUD is off to a good start this year

but may need a better draw to bang heads at this level. (7) KASHED UP A earned nearly $200K Down

Under - he won his first U.S. start in Ohio, but has only managed smaller pieces there since moving up to

the higher levels - tough spot for his YR debut (but don't be shocked if he still races well tonight).


RACE 2 - Short field, but a good race: (2) OZONE BLUE CHIP had a rare disappointing try 2 back but

bounced right back last week, a solid 2nd best to the razor sharp winner - may get to control the action here,

and that may help him get back to the winner's circle. (5) GREAT SOMEWHERE was actually very good

last week - he left hard but after being committed to trying for the top, Dunn had to grab up hard and retreat

to 4th...could have called it a night after that, but actually went a strong final half to be a pretty close 4th at

the end - loves to win, and races well for seemingly every barn- possible. (4) PYRO saw his 4 race winning

streak snapped last week when like #5, he had to make a hard retreat after leaving - could easily bounce

back tonight with a better trip. (3) PLEASELETMEKNOW was 6-3-1-1 $125K as a 2YO then banged out

another $429K at 3 - he loves Yonkers for sure but he's been away since Nov. and just may not be fully

cranked for tonight. (1) ARDEN MESSI N has a couple of nice recent wins but was also no factor in his

last pair - may prefer to be in just a bit easier. (6) THE REGULATOR has been ultra-consistent but finally

draws a bad post and that may slow him down a bit.


RACE 3 - MGM Borgata Series, Leg 3: (5) BACKSTREET SHADOW has been excellent since moving to

this barn 4 starts back, delivering strong finishes every week - hard to be certain about his trip tonight but if

it's a good one, he may have the edge over a couple of main rivals with question marks. (3) THIS IS THE

PLAN was handled very aggressively (as expected) last week but the former Levy champ just wasn't able

to keep it going after rattling off 3/4s in 1:23 - he may be ready now to deliver his best, but there's

definitely some uncertainty there. (1) OAKWOODNITOWNIT IR wasn't terrible (in traffic) 2 back and

was actually very good last week, pacing a big 3rd quarter just to get close to contention, then kicking

home with crisp pace once free into the lane - he's pulled off some upsets in the past, and he may be able to

pull off another tonight (under the right circumstances). (4) NANDOLO N has no shortage of ability but his

last pair haven't been up to par - needs a wake up call...and quickly! (2) SOARING NOW tired from the

pocket with no excuses in Leg 1 then took last week off - hard to back with any real confidence right now.

(6) DEAN B HANOVER has continued to hold his fine form even up at this top level and might have been

able to be 2nd last week if not trapped too long into the stretch - tough task from Post 6, however.


RACE 4 - Sharp field: (1) TOWNLINE ALL GOOD was cruising along on the lead as the odds-on choice

last week when he made an untimely miscue (he's done that in the past as well) - he drops back in quickly

(for the same $50K price) and we'll ASSUME he's patched up and ready for action...but he's not one to fall

in love with at a very short price right now. (2) BALLERAT BOOMERANG is always a big player in this

class but he merits some extra consideration tonight moving to a barn that does some amazing work with

fresh stock (their last pick up, JOJOS PLACE, improved at least 5 lengths and was a blowout winner in his

first start....only to finish LAST the very next week, after leaving the barn) - include him on your tickets.

(3) THRASHER has proven that he fits with these and was a 32-1 upset winner 3 back - a good value horse

to include if spreading a bit. (6) TIN ROOF RAIDER may be a bit more comfortable in 40s but he's raced

well twice in this class since recently being claimed - would have a chance in here if things unravel a bit up

front. (5) PRETTY HANDSOME got hit with the deck in that win 2 back but was worn down last week

when stuck with a tougher trip - still a legitimate player, but less attractive at that 3-1 ML price. (7) WICHI

TA LINEMAN is clearly very sharp right now but he's more of a "grinding" type, and tonight's draw may

pose some problems for him - not impossible, but some racing luck would definitely be needed. (4) FLOW

WITH JOE does his best work with a bit easier - feels like a tough spot in this strong field. (8) NOWHERE

CREEK A made an uncharacteristic break 3 back but has otherwise been sharp - drops in for a tag, but

figures to be slowed down by the terrible draw.


RACE 5 - MGM Borgata Series, Leg 3: (4) LOCHINVAR ART A was already a millionaire when he

arrived in the U.S. and has done nothing to tarnish that image since arriving, going 5 for 5 and showing that

he can win with a variety of trips - he's had some good fortune along the way but REALLY gets some

tonight as none of his rivals in here have managed better than a 4th in the series so far...he'll likely be 5

cents on the dollar tonight - and it would be hard to make any logical case against him. (2) BELMONT RO

YALE N was in a tough spot last week (3rd over in the slop) and we'll give him a pass for not being able to

do much - he's in a much better spot here, and may be able to complete the exacta for Dave Miller. (3) HE

MSWORTH N also had no prayer last week and we'll give him a pass too - may be charging late for a good

piece of this. (1) BAD TOTHE BONE N would surely like to be in easier but he'll likely feel Bongiorno

"jumping" behind him from the start, and a good getaway may help him stick around for a piece, especially

if Tritton goes a slow pace up top with the big favorite. (5) BEE TWO BEE may be in a tough spot if #4

leaves inside of him, forcing him to try to outkick some solid closers at the end - mixed feelings about his

chances tonight. (6) IM SIR BLAKE A will be coming from last, and likely need some trip luck to grab any

decent piece from out here.


RACE 6 - (3) KEYSTONE DASH was in very tough spots the last couple of weeks after finishing 2nd in 3

straight starts - it's hard to predict how this race will go but IF he lands on a good trip, he'll have a shot to

be right there at the end...and a good price makes him worth a stab. (4) OURRHYTHMNBLUES N has

been excellent since that 13-1 upset on 2/24, going 5-3-2-0 during that time - he remains the one to catch,

and beat. (1) SHERIFF N has certainly seen his game improve since joining this barn 4 starts back, but he's

probably not AS sharp as he looks on paper (nose winner in 25s, dream trip DH winner in 30s, then perfect

trip 3rd last week) - he has the rail and Bartlett and certainly has to be respected, but that 9/5 ML price does

seem a bit too low. Both (6) GINGER TREE PETE & (8) LOVE THE BLUES N are at post disadvantages

for sure, but both are capable of winning IF somehow the trip goes their way - both will be big prices, and

may be worth considering if using this as a "spread" race. (7) HURRIKANEKINGJAMES was reclaimed

on 3/20 and paid quick dividends with last week's victory - he steps up AND draws outside tonight, and

that's always a tough combination to overcome. (2) MONEYMAN HILL returns at a reduced level after

being on the shelf since last May - prefer to just watch for now. (5) SHANWAY N also returns off a layoff

and was just 2 for 26 here last year - guessing he may need a start or two as well.


RACE 7 - MGM Borgata Series, Leg 3: (1) TATTOO ARTIST folded from first to last as the 1/5 choice in

Leg #1 - the public still had enough faith to send him off as the 3/5 choice last week, and were rewarded

when Dunn let him relax a bit more early on before delivering the powerful "brush and crush" victory - he

lands in a field overloaded with good ones tonight, but remains the one to beat thanks to the draw. (2) PRIC

ELESS BEACH was a last-to-first 30-1 upset winner 4 back then just missed the next week (kicking home

in :26.4) - his 2 series starts have been strong as well, coming up 2nd best to LEONIDAS A in Week 1,

then rallying from 7th to 2nd behind the top choice last week - has to be considered from this spot,

especially if the price remains decent. (7) LEONIDAS A will be up against it from Post 7 tonight but he

DID win at 10-1 from a similar spot in Leg 1, and his overall Yonkers record makes him always worth a

look at any good price (37-22-8-3). (6) FUNATTHEBEACH N has a history of showing up from "unlikely"

spots - he would need a lot to go his way to win from out here, but he'll be a BIG price and is worth

considering if spreading this race as well. (4) HELLABALOU was very sharp in the first leg, even if given

some big help from his pilot - was a no match 2nd to IDEALSOMEMAGIC A last week and while he can't

really be eliminated from consideration tonight, that 2-1 ML price does make him less appealing from a

wagering standpoint. This MAY be an unpopular opinion, but (3) NONE BETTOR A wasn't that great last

week - he had things his own way through a reasonable 3/4s, and simply didn't finish well enough, collared

late thanks to his nearly :29 final quarter - he has a ton of class, but will need to be sharper tonight for a

chance at the top prize. (5) UNDRTHSOUTHENSUN N lands in a stacked division and seems

overmatched - sticking with others.


RACE 8 - (3) LOUIE THE HORSE N was no factor in NJ in his first start off the layoff but he was

definitely sharp here last week, rallying crisply for 2nd behind LOORRIM LAKE A (who came back to jog

from Post 7 the next week) - "gets stuck" with Dave Miller tonight, and looms a solid threat from this spot,

(4) PURPLE POET raced well for 3rd last week, especially impressive since he was off a month - could be

a big threat tonight with even a bit of improvement. (5) PEACE OUT POSSE has been good and fits very

nicely with these - would likely have been the top choice if not for the sick scratch (and 3 weeks off). (2)

ON THE CARDS A raced much better than expected here on 2/20 (layoff, new barn) but he wasn't able to

build off that in his next 3 starts - drops back down a notch, draws well, and we'll see if that perks him up a

bit. (1) HICKFROMFRENCHLICK finished better than usual last start and was able to score from the

pocket over a currently sharp rival - he's up in class tonight, and has been away for 3 weeks... leaning to

others. (6) STRAIGHT UP COOL has usually needed to be in easier to be a threat but he's actually holding

his own up in class, as well - not sure he'll be able to overcome tonight's tough draw, though. (8) MACHEA

SY A raced very well last week in his 2nd start off the layoff but lands in a brutal spot for tonight - drops a

win off the bottom of the card after this, so maybe give him a look NEXT week? (7) ROSE RUN X CON

weakened a bit after getting a good start last week - won't be any easier from Post 7.


RACE 9 - MGM Borgata Series, Leg 3: (3) IDEALSOMEMAGIC A went from "can he race from off the

pace?", to "does he really belong in this series?", to "can he actually WIN races against these?", to "is there

ANYBODY in here that can beat him tonight??" -- he faces a strong bunch here, but as good as he was

BEFORE recently adding Lasix, he's even sharper now...we'll stay on board. (7) JIMMY FREIGHT was

trapped too long for any real chance in Leg 1 but he certainly looked super in last week's victory (even if he

was somehow pacing well inside the final 3 pylons) - remains a very real danger, even from out here. (2)

AMERICAN COURAGE made his 2023 debut in Leg 1 and beat them all except for the late flying top

choice - never got close to contention after getting away 7th last week but it seems safe to expect a much

bigger effort tonight - would be no surprise to see him battling for the top spot. (6) COVERED BRIDGE

had absolutely no prayer last week after sitting 8th but he reminded us how sharp he is right now by

rallying for 4th, not far off the show spot - great bomb to use on a few tickets if you think Buter can find

some way into the hunt for him. (1) AMERICAN DEALER N went his best effort in a while 2 back and

built off that with last week's 2nd place finish behind #7 - can grab a good chunk here, if not over-driven.

(5) ROCKIN WITHELVIS A is a pretty nice horse and did pick up a 2nd in the first leg - he does figure to

be too far back to be a real threat tonight, however. (4) ANOTHRMASTRPIECE N prepped nicely for the

series on 3/6 but was hurt by a tough trip in the first leg, then was never close last week - may need a bit

easier right now to show his best stuff.


RACE 10 - (1) SPLASH BROTHER just wasn't right three back, turned a potentially disastrous trip into a

winning one in his next but then looked super last week, crushing the field effortlessly from Post 8 - the

class bump here is meaningless if he shows up anywhere near as good as last time. (3) TIGER BARON has

been sharp for a while so last week's victory came as no surprise - he's also moving up a notch tonight, but

still looms a very big player. (2) ADAM CROCKER A hasn't looked too sporty at times but he did look

good last week, and raced well to be a close 4th - chance to land somewhere on the ticket tonight, as well.

(4) LUCIANO N hit board in 4 of his last 5 starts and has a chance to do the same tonight...especially if

Kakaley gets him away to a quick start. (5) PRO BEACH finished ok last week despite the double jump to

NW15000 - drops back one peg, and may be able to rally for a small piece...with the right trip. (6) WARD

AN EXPRESS A was a winner vs. lesser 2 back and that remains the barn's only victory of 2023 - he's

good right now, but figures to be hurt by the draw. (7) CANTSTOPLYING was no factor from a similar

spot racing off the layoff last start...and figures to struggle tonight as well.


RACE 11 - (1) SONNY WEAVER N won 6 of 12 starts here last year and his last couple in NJ suggest that

he's returning to YR in top form - we'll give him the edge tonight over his main rival. (3) MIKES Z TAM

recently left his long time barn and has been thriving for his new (top) connections, winning his first pair

then just missing last week (across the river) - figures to give the top choice all he can handle. (2) LEVINE

had a dismal 2022 campaign but has really turned things around this year, and comes into tonight in razor

sharp form - he steps up in class, and he'll also likely be sitting 3rd...may have to accept a smaller piece this

week. (4) SPEED MAN N was beaten with no excuses 2 back, then an "ok" 3rd last week - he doesn't seem

to be in "Open" form right now, and may have trouble with the top few - smaller piece tonight. (5) WINDS

UN RICKY was well back over the off going 2 back but rebounded with a much better try last week - he

may be able to save ground and rally for a small share. (6) GENIUS MAN has gone some big efforts

recently but comes into tonight after a break last week, and has plenty of speed to his inside - may need to

wait for a better spot. (7) JUDDY DOUGLAS A was no factor at all in his last pair and draws poorly again.


RACE 12 - (4) MAJOR DESIRE has been coming up with some very sharp efforts lately, and last week

was no exception (out all the way from Post 8 and somehow still 3rd) - there's a couple in here that figure

to take a lot of tote action, and that means this guy may go off at a nice price...could be a good value play in

the finale. (5) JOJOS PLACE was just reclaimed (for $5K more) by the barn that sent him out to an open

length demolition in the only start they had him - very dangerous, even in for $30K. (3) MACH DORO A

was sent off favored in 40s last week after being claimed by our leading barn - he was driven very

aggressively, but was repelled by the sharp winner and faded into the lane...drops back down to 30s, and

could easily rebound with a winning effort. (2) SULLIVAN sat last and never got the hot pace he needed,

but still finished up well to grab 5th last week - better spot tonight, and could have a bigger say with a

better trip. (1) GOTHIC ROCK rallied a bit for 3rd last week, rebounding from a disappointing start the

week before - has to avoid being used too hard early on if he wants to be able to finish strong. (7) AUDI

HARE N was well meant for his new connections last week but weakened in the lane after blasting to the

top from Post 7 - lands in a similarly tough spot tonight, but still could outperform that 20-1 ML price. (8)

ROBBIE BURNS N landed on an impossible trip last week but tonight's draw will probably leave him with

another bad journey tonight. (6) PINEBUSH LIFESAVER has raced well here (for pieces) many times, but

it's hard to overlook his 0 for 39 local slate!

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