Friday Empire Report

soaofny • March 31, 2023

The Empire Report - Friday, March 31, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (1) TWIN B SUNKISSED was a big earner at 2 and 3 but like many others, struggled a bit in

her 4YO season - has been racing "ok" up in Canada so far in 2023, and now lands in a barn that has always

done excellent work with these types - she's off 3 weeks, but still figures to be ready for her local debut. (5)

BELLADONNA GIRL A was sent off as the 3/5 choice in her U.S. debut last fall and did not disappoint -

came up 2nd best to the solid FADE OUT in her next, but then went on the shelf for 4 months after a sick

scratch - qualified back nicely, and figures to be the main danger. (2) PURAMERI was a bit short off the

bad date 2 back but a much better 3rd last week - no reason she can't grab a good piece tonight as well. (4) I

LOVE ON GAIT qualified beautifully for her 4YO return (3rd behind a pair of Open horses) but really

disappointed here last week, looking sluggish most of the way - she's capable of MUCH better, but is hard

to endorse here at that 5/2 ML price. (3) EDGE OF ETERNITY does her best work on the front end vs.

cheaper - look for her dropping in class next week. (6) CAPTAINS STAR is having a solid year so far but

the 4YO is taking on older mares tonight, and from a tough spot- maybe a minor share? (7) DANCE CLUB

has looked short in both starts off the layoff and now draws Post 7 - a win drops off the bottom of her card

after tonight, so keep on eye on her for next time.


RACE 2 - (4) JIVE DANCING A has been sharp all year despite being unable to find the winner's circle so

far - she was left with an impossible trip last week and can be forgiven for weakening to 4th....this is a spot

where Dube CAN leave with her, and that would boost her chances considerably....worth another shot at a

decent price. (3) PROBERT also landed on a brutal trip first over last trip (against #1) but still kept digging

right to the wire, beaten only a length and a half in 3rd - another that could pull off the mild upset if things

go her way. (1) PURE SILKY brings her impressive 6 race winning streak into this and left no doubt with

last week's sharp front end score that she can handle older mares as well - remains the one to beat...but the

price will be pretty small. (5) BABS JANSEN is a solid player week after week but she's in tough tonight

and lands outside 3 very tough foes...and that will probably leave her looking at a smaller slice this time.

(2) LADYBELUCKYTONITE has been overachieving this year....but could really use some class relief.


RACE 3 - Blue Chip Matchmaker, Leg 3: (4) DOUGS BABE A charged home late from impossible spots

in the first 2 legs, hinting at some legitimate ability - as we get deeper into this Series, she needs to start

picking up more points if she hopes to qualify for the Final....this feels like a spot where Dunn will handle

her more aggressively, and the guess is that she'll respond favorably - worth a play tonight. (1) MAJORCA

N is another in need of points that figures to be cranked up for a bigger effort tonight - she's only managed

a pair of 5ths so far (from tough spots), but figures to have a much bigger say this week. (7) DELITFULCA

THERIN N had a chance to win last week if not for that extremely untimely miscue early in the stretch (she

may have run in just a bit, and tapped wheels with KARMA SEELSTER) - she has an outstanding local

record and while this is obviously a tough spot, that 20-1 ML price does make her worth considering for a

few tickets! (3) EASY TO PLEASE hasn't been "bad", but she's still not 100% - has to pick up her game a

bit if she hopes to contend for one of the top slots tonight. (8) MABALENE N gave it a big try last week

(2nd after cutting the mile) after being scratched sick from the first leg - she's looking at a potentially very

tough trip from out here, so make sure to get a pretty nice price if trying her on top. (6) WAHS FIRE BUG

chased two good ones for 3rd in Week 1 but wasn't able to overcome last week's much tougher first over

trip - could be in for another rough journey from Post 6. (5) THE PANTHEIST A has looked overmatched

so far - sticking with others. (2) MAN DONTFORGET ME makes her first try in this year's series but

really doesn't seem up for it right now.


RACE 4 - (4) IDEAL LINER N arrived from Down Under with a solid resume but never found his best

form stateside, and was still winless in the U.S. when he went on the shelf last August - he was on the shelf

for 8 months but did qualify back sharply, and lands at the bottom claiming level for his return to the races -

we'll roll the dice that he's ready to beat these. (2) TOATSMYGOATS was hammered down to 4/5 off the

barn change last week and easily delivered the front end score - the one to beat if the top choice fails to

come back sharp. (3) HEART ON MY SLEEVE fits well at this level, and was 3rd in his last two local tries

for $15K - board threat tonight, as well. (1) KINGSTONS BAD BOY got away in the pocket behind #2 last

week and was able to hang on to 2nd, despite gapping most of the way - draws the pole once more, but may

need to be a bit sharper tonight if he hopes to contend for another good chunk. (5) AWESOMENESS was a

surprising claim on 3/3 then raced "ok" in his first start for new connections - he's missed 3 weeks since

then, and it's hard to know what we'll get from him tonight. (7) MAJESTIC KIWI N probably fits ok with

these but will likely be hampered by the outside draw. Both (6) THISISHOWWEDOIT and (8) SNAP

CALL were non-factors against these last week, and will be hard pressed to have any impact tonight.


RACE 5 - (1) PACE N PRIDE N was returning last week off a 4 month layoff and finished up loaded with

pace, vs. better than these - Stratton gets to choose whether to cut this mile or sit the pocket, and he'll be

mighty tough either way. (5) SON OF A TIGER N hit the top from his outside post last week and never

looked back, scoring at a very generous 7-1 price - he'd have been the clear choice to repeat against these

had he not drawn in with #1....clearly the main danger. (4) VESPA N has been a disappointment so far in

his Yonkers starts but he did pick up a 3rd at this level on 2/13, and may be able to grab a similar slice

tonight. (2) ROCKIN JUKEBOX has struggled since returning from Monti but he gets some major post

relief here and that may be enough to help him bring home a small share. (3) EDDARD HANOVER has

been hot and cold since moving to this barn recently - if the "good" version shows up tonight, he'll be

another fighting for some of the scraps. (6) ON THE VIRG landed in a tough spot last week after a pair of

8 holes right before that - can't seem him threatening for one of the top prizes, but an easy trip gives him a

shot at 3rd/4th. (7) HURRIKANE GEORGIE tailed at the very end of an outstanding 2022 season and has

failed to come close to that good form ever since - he does add Lasix, so keep an eye out for improvement.

(8) LATEST ERA hasn't been sharp in PA, and draws Post 8 for his YR return.


RACE 6 - Blue Chip Matchmaker, Leg 3....this division is really stacked! (2) AMAZING DREAM N came

up 2nd best in all 3 of her qualifiers but has been all business in the Series so far, impressively taking both

of her legs (one on the lead, one from the pocket) - she catches SEVERAL powerful rivals tonight but she

does draw inside of them, and the Down Under Millionaire gets the edge as a result. (4) LIT DE ROSE may

be able to bring some value to the ticket - the streaky mare seems to be finding her best form at the right

time, and may end up with a good trip here....the price figures to be pretty decent with all the sharp players

in this division. (5) RACINE BELL gambled on sitting the two hole last week and it paid off nicely when

the leader tired in the stretch, and left room at the cones - the classy 6YO is now an amazing 28-12-12-3 at

Yonkers (over the past 3 years), and obviously needs to be feared ANY time she's in the box! (6) DRAMA

ACT was riding a nice 3 race winning streak until getting run down by #2 last week - the draw dictates that

she'll likely be forced to race from behind tonight, and that may leave last year's Matchmaker Champ with a

smaller piece than she's used to. (1) HOT MESS EXPRESS missed Week 1 but did put in a solid try in Leg

2 (her first start off the layoff) - figured to be a much bigger player tonight, but drawing into this super

division may leave her with less than she was hoping for. (3) ALTA MADEIRA N finished well for small

pieces in the first 2 legs and will hope to save ground and take home at least a small slice tonight too. Both

(7) GOTTHEGREENLIGHT and (8) LYDEO are 4YOS that have raced well so far against their elders but

the horrible draw (and stacked field) figure to really limit both of them this week.


RACE 7 - (1) MAXIMUS RED A was caught behind a quitter on 2/28 and finished as best he could after

finding room between horses in the stretch - he was then scratched sick from back to back starts but last

week's qualifier suggests that he's ready to go, and he couldn't have found a softer basement field if he tried

- they'll have him to catch and beat. (2) SO MANY ROADS has managed just one 3rd from 6 starts this

year but has been facing better - the good draw will keep him close to the pace, and he's probably the main

danger. (3) THE DOWNTOWN BUS really got roughed up 2 back but then followed that up with last

week's dull effort - he has a chance to be part of this (mostly because most of the others are struggling), but

still hard to ever "like" at a short price. (4) RHODENA ROAD just hasn't looked good so far since the start

of the new year - in desperate need of a big wake up call. (5) AMERICAN WAY was struggling when

claimed on 1/20 and hasn't clicked for 2 barns since then - that last qualifier looks a bit better, so maybe

he's ready to start turning things around now - throw in underneath? (7) DESIRES CAPTAIN is 7-0-0-0 to

start the year for a barn off to a 1 for 37 start - if looking for an "angle", he does get Bartlett this week (but

that may not be enough to help his cause). (6) SPORTS CAPTAIN has been struggling in NJ but was

6-0-0-0 here in 2022 - hard to like his chances tonight.


RACE 8 - Blue Chip Matchmaker, Leg 3: (5) INCASEYOUDIDNTKNOW is worth a stab tonight - she

raced much better in Leg 1 than her line might suggest (finished strong after being hurt by terrible cover),

and she was sharp again last week, avoiding a breaker in the stretch then finishing fast to be right behind

the better-trip RACINE BELL at the end - she does have gate speed at times, and this would be a great spot

for McCarthy to try to find some. (7) LUCKY ARTIST A faces a very uncertain trip from Post 7 tonight

but she's been rock solid for a long time, and CAN overcome less than stellar journeys - her young pilot is

never afraid to race one hard, and this mare is worth considering if the price is good enough. (1) KARMA

SEELSTER clearly wasn't on her best game last week and was already starting to weaken early in the lane -

she MAY bounce right back with a big one tonight, but you'll want to get a square price if using on top here

(2) GIAS SURREAL hasn't been able to find her best game yet, and it's hard to guess if and when that

might happen - the classy mare is never a "bad" play at a big price, but she's hard to back at shorter odds

right now. (3) ANNERIE N isn't a bad bomb to include underneath in exotics - she's finished well enough

in her 2 Series starts to be worth throwing in for 3rd/4th at what figures to be a pretty juicy price. (6) MOR

NING HAS BROKEN was weak in Leg 1 but rebounded with a much better try last start - this just seems

like a tough draw for a mare that generally doesn't like to be used too hard early on. (4) COMMANDER

CATHY N is struggling with these, but at least taking plenty of money off her card (for AFTER the series).

(8) WATCH ME NOW lands Post 8 for her first start of the year - ouch!


RACE 9 - Tough race: (2) VILLAGE JADE has gone some big miles here in the past but has been off her

best game lately - definitely some improvement last week, and may get to call the shots tonight...we'll give

her a very narrow nod. (3) ROCKNROLL ANNIE was too overzealous last week and popping out of the

pocket to 3/4s probably cost her a chance to be right there at the wire - at 12-1 ML she's worth a look, as

she may grab a good trip here. (4) MIKI ROSE got too hot last week and gave way to 3/4s after cutting a

hot half - definitely eligible to bounce right back for our top trainer/driver tandem, but be careful about

taking a short price. (6) SAUBLE DELIGHTFUL raced super when beaten a head at a big price 2 back -

had no prayer last week (poor cover flow in a hot mile) but there's a chance she could outperform her odds

tonight...with some better trip luck. (5) MILIEU HANOVER has some solid ability but doesn't always do

that well on the Yonkers turns - she'll be charging late from this spot, and worth considering if the price gets

juicy enough. (7) MISS DOTIE MAE has really blossomed as a 4YO and the homebred does seem ready to

take on older rivals in her current raging form...may need to wait for a better spot to strut her best stuff,

however. (1) HEARTBREAK HOTEL had a solid 3YO campaign, winning 8 races and $108K - she's been

on the shelf for 5 months, however, and may be in need of a start or two.


RACE 10 - (4) GINGRAS BEACH was a winner the last time he dropped to the bottom level and he's

certainly been hurt by some bad posts in his last few starts here - very logical player, but won't be much of a

price. (1) BETTORBUCKLEUP came up 2nd best in his last two tries in this class, draws the pole, and

looms a very legitimate threat - he's also just 1 for 19 locally, and listed as the 8/5 ML choice...just make

sure to get a "fair" price if going with him on top. (2) SANTAFES COACH was shockingly sent off at 6/5

last week and never lifted a hoof - he's normally a decent fit at this level, and he's listed at 12-1 tonight -

couldn't blame anybody for giving him a look if he goes off anything close to that price. (6) REAL LUCKY

turned in better efforts in his last couple - not a great spot here, but he may be sharp enough now to at least

grab a small piece. (7) YER SO BAD actually finished with good pace last week and might have gotten

more consideration had he drawn inside - hard to see him finding a manageable trip from out here, though.

(5) CONBOYVILLE was handled aggressively last week and picked up a 2nd, though blown away by a

40-1 shot in the lane - still not ready to hop on his team. (3) ARTIST BEST was scratched sick after a dull

one and has been away for a month - leaning towards others. (8) BIG BAD BILL seems on the cheap side,

and gets stuck behind the 8 ball for his YR return.

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