Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • March 23, 2021

The Empire Report - Tuesday, March 23, 2021 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (5) LUCIANO N has been hampered by a trio of horrible posts but wasn't bad in any of those

starts - gets some post relief here, and is definitely in a spot where Holland can try to be aggressive with

him - doubt he'll go off at that 10-1 ML price, but he should at least offer some decent value in tonight's

opener. (2) AWESOMENESS gets both class and post relief from his last start here, and returns off a win at

PcD - the horse to beat, but that 7/5 ML price makes it hard to get excited about a wager. (4) SCRUB HAN

OVER raced well a few times at this level and may even try to be more aggressive off the class drop - one

to include in exotics, and maybe even on top, if the price is juicy enough. (6) GHOST DANCE clearly had

some issue here in his last, but the qualifier suggests that it was nothing major - he does fit with these, and

deserves consideration at the right price. (8) ROOTIN TOOTIN ships in off a PcD win and definitely fits

class-wise -- but it's the draw that will likely limit him to only a smaller piece here. (3) KILLER MARTINI

seems to take $$ almost every week....but has disappointed in about 90% of his tries over the past couple of

years - maybe 3rd, but sticking with others for the top slots. (1) OURLITTLEGENERAL A has been no

good at all lately, and the same holds true for most of his barnmates - waiting for better signs before using

again. (7) ART HISTORY hasn't been sharp and lands outside - at least he won't get parked the mile here!


RACE 2 - (3) MCMATTERS has been facing better across the river and more than holding his own -

MacDonald is finally starting to win some races, and he has familiarity with this guy after driving him last

start - assuming he gets around the half miler, he should be a tough customer in his YR debut. (1) LIMERE

NCE drops into a spot he probably would have been a cinch from a month ago, but he just hasn't been quite

as sharp in his last couple - may perk up and just wire these with the big class drop, but hard to take too

short a price looking to find out. (2) TIGHT LINES was a high-level trotter for most of his career so it's

hard to imagine him shipping in with such uninspiring lines - classy veteran may just perk up in this soft

spot, but he'd need to be a decent price to consider for the top spot right now. (8) VINNY DE VIE found

himself a nice early spot last week but made a most unfortunate miscue to the quarter - he'll most likely be

happy with just a clean mile from this terrible spot but since he'll be a big price, he's not a bad bomb for

longshot fans to consider. (4) SEVEN KNIGHTS is way off form now, but still may be able to beat out a

few of these for a minor share. (6) BROADWAY PROMISE hasn't clicked for his current connections since

the 1/15 claim, but at least he's been behaving - watch for when he gets into a more realistic spot. (7) CR

BLAZIN BEAUTY and (5) MISS YOU KELLY would both be surprises in their current form


RACE 3 - (2) BRAZEN BRAZILLIAN might be in a good spot here - has picked up many good chunks

thanks to his quick gate speed, and tonight he avoids any of the standouts that he always seems to be

chasing - if he shows up as sharp as he's been, he'll have a legitimate chance to come out on top. (3) GAMB

LINGTERROR is a hard horse to ever "love" (because of his well documented poor win %) but he's been

sharp for a while, and should appreciate getting away from older foes to face these age-restricted "NWPM"

rivals - a good trip should put him right there on the wire. (8) QUAGMIRE BLUECHIP is probably the

"best" horse in here, and he's very sharp right now - the issue is that he isn't all that handy, and may end up

with a difficult 8 hole journey - hard to leave him off your ticket, but also hard to accept a short price. (1)

VILLAGE CHAMP wasn't "good" last week, but he was definitely better than he has been - if he continues

to improve, he might be able to grab a piece tonight. (6) NOME HANOVER was both well backed and

well meant last time, and put in a big effort for 2nd - moves from the rail to Post 6 tonight, and may have a

harder time being as big a player. (5) WALK IT TALK IT has been an overall disappointment since arriving

from Canada - suppose he can grab himself a small piece with the bit of post relief he's getting here (7)

ROLL WITH DOM would be okay with these from the inside, but will need a lot to go his way to contend

from out here. (4) WILSONS VINNER appears to be overmatched, off most of his lines


RACE 4 - (3) MYKINDACHIP is definitely off the top form he showed here last Fall, but he should still

be good enough right now for a good chance to beat these - will get to control the action here, and that may

allow the 12YO to show his class (989K lifetime), and get back to the winner's circle. (5) PERFECTLY

CLOSE was able to avoid a back side wheel-hooking incident last week - but while that helped his cause,

he was also VERY sharp, finishing right behind the favorite despite being out the entire way - if the top

choice falters, this guy could be next in line (and may win even if #3 comes up good)! (6) FLYING FINN

N was handled very aggressively off the sick scratch and was clearly up for it, scoring the sharp pocket win

- steps up and moves outside now, and that may limit him to a smaller share for tonight. (2) PATRIOT

NATION started his local career of strong last year, but quickly started to tail and never did live up to the

early promise - raced "ok" off the layoff in last and is eligible to be sharper tonight - ok to include in

exotics. (8) NVESTMENT BLUECHIP faltered when first over against better upon arrival, but was pretty

good from an impossible spot in last - drops now, but unfortunately is stuck again with Post 8 - willing to at

least consider for a piece if the price is decent. (1) MACH TIME N was just 1 for 25 last year and his lone

win of 2021 came by a nose, from the pocket, at the bottom level - rail draw does give him a shot at a small

piece, though. (4) DEEDENUTO A hasn't looked sharp since the layoff - waiting for better signs. (7) WAI

MAC ATTACK N seems unlikely to threaten from all the way out here.


RACE 5 - M Life Rewards Ladies Pacing Series Consolation: (4) P L NELLY was actually very good off

an impossible trip 2 back, then made up a TON of ground from the half last week to be right there 2nd with

PAIGES GIRL - hopefully Dube will recognize this is a good opportunity to get aggressive with this sharp

mare, and give her a chance to pull off an upset in the consolation (6) SOMEBEACHSOMEFRA came into

the series as one of the top contenders, but she just missed in each of the first two legs then was scratched

sick from Round 3, and found herself as the one to beat in the consolation instead - would normally have

been the heavy choice here but last week's scratch does bring an element of doubt - she MAY be a bit

vulnerable at a pretty short price. (2) PRAY THE ROSARY remains a tough one to gauge from start to start

- big 8 hole try 2 back, but then failed on the lead with no excuses - took off Round 3, so it's hard to say if

that'll hurt or help her chances tonight. (3) BREAK THE DEAL reverted to her local gait issues in her last

pair - she has a chance against these, but will need to be a lot smoother tonight if she hopes to strut her best

stuff. (1) SPECIAL ACHIEVER was good for several weeks but regressed significantly in her last pair -

will need to somehow get back to her "A Game" if she hopes be a serious player here. (5) MOUTH

WATERING has ability, but comes into this off a "lame" scratch, followed by a break - clearly she's pretty

"iffy: right now. (7) PRINCESS SHARKTANK was dull in her first series try, then a bit better in her next -

not sure she can reach from out here even on her best, though. (8) DOTTED LINE just isn't sharp enough

right now to be considered a threat from Post 8.


RACE 6 - M Life Rewards Ladies Pacing Series Final: (1) PETTYCOAT BUSINESS came into this series

looking like the heavy favorite to win it all - definitely showed vulnerability in her 4 local starts, but she

draws the pole coming off her easiest win so far, and clearly the road to the winner's circle runs through

her...but don't be too quick to empty your wallet on her as the prohibitive choice! (2) TURNTHEFROWNA

ROUND won all three of her series legs, but never looked all that flashy in any of them - would benefit

greatly if the top choice scares off any other leavers and SHE ends up in the pocket....that would give her at

least a fair chance at going by late, if the big favorite falters. (4) SOUND IDEA came up a close 2nd in her

2 series legs, then couldn't resist skipping Round 3 to go across the river...to pick up $6250 in her ONE

HORSE RACE! -- loses Zeron but picks up Stratton, and should be in contention for a nice piece of this.

(5) PAIGES GIRL hit a rough patch for a few weeks starting in late Jan. but has been much sharper in her

last 4 (winning 3, and blocked in the other) - it's up to Zeron to find her a manageable trip from this spot.

(3) FLIRTY FORTY pulled off the big upset in the first leg (over the top choice, and #4) but hasn't been as

good in her last couple - probably looking at only a smaller share. (7) DRAGON ROLL gets no luck with

the draw and that's going to hurt, as she'll need to be used hard to put herself in play from out here - maybe

can grab a decent piece if Bartlett finds her some trip luck. (6) READY SET ROCK used a good trip last

week to pick up 2nd but she's a bit below too many of these to endorse from out here. (8) AVAYA HANO

VER gets no draw luck again, and she'll be hard pressed to get involved this time.


RACE 7 - (2) TYMAL PEACEMAKER was a solid 2nd to a razor sharp Walkinshaw 4 back - no chance

after sitting last in next then missed a head to repeat winner Ehrmantrout in next, followed by a BIG try for

2nd behind 1/10 winner Speed Man N - maybe he can finally get over the hump here? (1) NO ORDINARY

MAN has been picking up pieces since moving up to this level - maybe he can sit a little closer tonight and

contend for a bigger share? (7) MAJOR OFFENSE has been very sharp for weeks (vs. cheaper), finally

getting his picture taken last week (with help from a nice Dube drive) - very tough spot now, but worth a

look at the right price. (5) DENVER SEELSTER has hit board in 7 straight, but the only win came 2 levels

down - probably looking at a smaller piece once again vs. these. (4) ARTFUL WAY deserves some respect

dropping down to the level he beat 4 back, but he does seem to have fallen off form recently - would

consider if the price was long enough. (6) MACHEASY A has been sharp lately, but vs. easier - may find

these a little tougher than he prefers. (3) FIZZING N had been very sharp but failed to get into play moving

up in last, and now bumps up yet another level - prefer others. (8) OUR MAX PHACTOR N was unable to

get close from Post 6 after moving up last week - won't be any easier from the 8 hole tonight


RACE 8 - Good, well matched field: (4) GALANTE A was very well backed for his local debut and went a

BIG mile to be 2nd - got stuck with a horrible trip the next week but was still pacing strong through the

wire for 4th - don't think he'll be 12-1, but he should still be a good price...and the right trip could make him

a winner. (5) SUN OF A SHOW has used his looping gate speed to establish excellent trips the last two

weeks and pick up a solid 2nd and 3rd.....at huge prices - the odds will come down now for sure, but he

should still offer good value...and definitely has a chance. (6) REIGNING DEO added Lasix 2 back and

immediately rebounded to his top form, scoring a sharp win (over the top choice) - was still able to grab 3rd

despite a tough trip in last, and remains a very logical threat here....with a better journey. (7) MISTER

REBBILY A is as good as any horse in here, but gets stuck with another terrible draw...but IF there's a live

flow tonight, he could easily show up at the wire...at a nice price. (1) IM A GIGOLO N gets a full pass for

his last, but he's still unproven against these NW6 types - we'll assume that he CAN go with them, and will

be a player from the pole...but he'll likely also be overbet, and there's a lot of sharp horses to contend with.

(8) SUMTHINBOUTIM is beyond sharp right now and beat this bunch last week...but he'll be hard pressed

to do that kind of damage from Post 8! (3) SO MANY ROADS is coming off a break and needs a bunch of

things to go his way...but he was actually VERY sharp recently, and does have a chance to light up the

toteboard, under the right circumstances. (2) GENIUS MAN is a steady player with these and does draw

inside - but he's listed at 5/2 ML when his actual price should be more like 20-1.


RACE 9 - Another very tough race - with lots of competing angles! (3) ROCK LIGHTS is off a scratch and

has a poor win % (both here at YR, and overall, the last couple of years) - that would normally have us

looking elsewhere, but he's also entering a new barn tonight that has been doing incredible "makeovers" on

their new acquisitions recently - he gets the tepid vote, just on the barn change. (6) HUDSON PHIL comes

into this off a few less than stellar lines, but he also shows finishing 2nd to both Western Joe and Ostro Han

over (MGM Borgata Series players) right on the program - he'll be a big price, and may find a wake up call

off the class drop. (5) CHRISTEN ME N still has some spring in his 13YO legs, and should be tighter off

that mile at Fhd. - couldn't blame anybody looking to use him on top. (4) ALBERGO HANOVER has done

good work since changing barns 3 starts back, and has gone some big miles here at Yonkers- not always the

smoothest horse, but he's still worth considering here, as long as the price is fair.. (1) MACHIATTO A was

very good from way off the pace 2 back, then a solid 2nd in last - his speed will set up a good trip, but it's

the end of the mile where he'll have to come up big. (2) TREASURE MACH is a neck shy of coming into

this riding a 3 race win streak - had all poor posts the last times he raced at this level, but draws inside now

and may be able to grab a decent piece...at a decent price. (7) GIVENUPDREAMING goes for a new barn

but seems unlikely to get close from out here. (8) ALTA LEROY figures to have way too far to come



RACE 10 - (3) KEYSTONE PHOENIX was an "ugly" winner in this class back on 2/8 but he just wasn't

all that sharp at the time - his last 2 efforts looked much better, and now he drops back down to a field right

in his wheelhouse - he's supposed to be able to handle these. (2) BILL HALEY N had the long awaited

wake up call 2 back, but was stuck in an impossible spot last week - moves back inside, and should be able

to make some noise here. (4) MARK WITHA K finally managed to turn things around in Feb. after being

no good for many starts - has held his form as he's begun to climb back up the ladder, and there's no reason

he shouldn't be in the mix tonight. (1) KASEY JOHN A wasn't bad off an impossible trip last week and

gets some major post relief - he beat this class back in Feb., and is worth including in exotics tonight. (5)

TOOKADIVEOFFDIPPER drops from the Borgata to NW10000 and will take PLENTY of $$ - his last

was just no good, however, and there's no guarantee he'll be sharp enough to beat this cheaper field either -

could be some decent value playing against him here. (6) MR HAM SANDWICH ships in sharp from

Buffalo but will be facing much tougher now - he's had some success here in the past, but could probably

use a class drop in order to be a more serious player. (7) SOHO WALLSTREET A and (8) TOM ME GUN

N are both solid right now, but neither figures to have much luck getting involved from out here.

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