Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • October 1, 2024

The Empire Report – Tuesday, October 1, 2024 – Race Analysis

RACE 1 – Tough opener! (6) LAZIN ON THE BEACH is hard to gauge class-wise based on her efforts at “The

Aces” but she did win at The Swamp last year, and is getting what figures to be a pretty significant driver change –

at that 20-1 ML price, she has to be worth at least a look. (7) LINEMUP KNOCKMBACK draws poorly but she

also drops in class, and has raced well here this year on several occasions – another possible upsetter? (3) JUST

ROSAS LUCK struggled vs. the 50s but she’s usually a solid player at this level, and gets a good draw to go along

with the class drop – logical threat. (4) NITE TIME DEAL’s efforts have been mixed but she owns a couple of local

wins and can make some noise here if she brings her best effort. (2) CHASE YOU was handled aggressively off the

class drop last week but gave way and tired – maybe this field will be more to her liking, but she’s hard to endorse as

the 2-1 ML choice. (5) EBONY LADY raced ok in her last couple in this class – license to grab a piece with the

right trip. (1) TERACITA struggles to win races at the $20K level...hard to use her on top one level up. (8)

PETROL QUEEN drops, but that figures to be offset by the terrible draw.


RACE 2 – (2) IDEALINFUN has been sharp for some time, and is a weekly threat at this level – she got overhauled

by a couple of sharp rivals in her last pair, but maybe she can get it done tonight – slight edge in a well matched field

(6) PREMIER SWEETALKER shipped in from The Meadows, got the “golden barn change” that has produced

endless winners in the past, then immediately picked up wins in her first 2 starts – drops in for a very logical tag

now, and the only real knock is the draw (she’ll need at least a little trip luck to win from out here). (4) NIKASA N

has held her form nicely at the $50K level after marching through the 20s and 25s recently – a good trip gives her a

chance to be right there on the wire. (5) CRUISERSFOXYJUDY faces an uncertain trip from this spot but her form

is solid, and she can make some late noise if things go her way. (1) MILLWOOD BONNIE N wins races in bunches

(14 for 38 over the last 2 years) but she’s been away since May, and it may be asking too much for her to be ready to

beat these right off the bench. (7) HEAVENS SHOWGIRL A has been very sharp for the last couple of months,

always charging at the end...but she may be too far back tonight for more than a smaller share. (3) CALLMEQUEE

NBEE A recently won 5 straight but has shown clear signs of tailing in her last couple.


RACE 3 – (5) TWIN B DELUXE gave it his all last week but just couldn’t get by a very stubborn FREQUENT IM

AGE last week – he’s been sharp for a long time, figures to see his price drift up a bit, and may be able to get the job

done this time with an easier trip. (4) GENTLE GIANT moves up a notch off last week’s 2nd place finish (ran into a

HOT mile behind #2) but seems sharp enough to handle it right now – another that figures to be a fair price in a very

competitive affair (3) FREQUENT IMAGE missed 3 weeks to his last start but was clearly unbothered by it, digging

in tenaciously to hold off #5 at the wire – chance to repeat, but his price will come down now. (8) SHAZAM BLUE

CHIP took 3 in a row before landing in an absolutely impossible spot last week – he’s proven that he can beat these

(even from bad posts), but you’ll want a good price to try him on top tonight. (1) CENTURY ENDEAVOR made an

unexpected miscue last week but he’s picked up lots of smaller pieces against these – decent value horse for the

bottom of exotics. (6) REAL WILLEY may have been showing some of the effects from that brutal start 2 back

when he came up a little dull last week– tough post tonight, even if he brings his best (7) TUGGIN ON MY HEART

returns from MN showing excellent form, and has enjoyed excellent success here in the past – not sure he can

overcome the awful draw, though. (2) HEZ ALLTHE RAGE N went a career mile in last week’s sizzling victory but

he exits a very successful barn and lands with a trainer that’s struggled here this year (0 for 66).


RACE 4 – (4) FREESTARFLIGHT won 4 in a row not long ago and now has a modest 2 race streak going – she’s

incredibly tough when on the front end, but has shown that she can get the job done from off the pace as well – gets

the edge as she seeks her 3rd straight. (1) NO WIN NO FEED A has been a model of consistency for a long time,

compiling an outstanding 46-15-13-5 record over the past 2 seasons – her last 2 efforts (from outside posts) were

excellent, and she looms the main danger from the pole. (7) REAL LADY SADIE seemed to need the lead in 20s to

be dangerous but she just continues to get better, and last week charged home for 4th against these 50s – not sure she

can completely overcome another bad draw tonight, but has to at least be considered for a piece! (6) PEMBROKE

SOUTHIE has had a very solid season, although her tries in THIS class probably weren’t her best – still a logical

player for a piece of this. (5) LOOKOVERYOUR is never a threat for a top slot, but she continues to hang in pretty

well for minor spoils – chance for 3rd/4th . (3) JIVE DANCING A was back on a good roll before a disappointing try

on 9/17, followed by last week’s sick scratch – feels a bit iffy right now. (2) TWO PISTOL ANNIE is the 3rd horse

from this crew arriving from Minnesota tonight – maybe see how the first 2 did, and adjust her chances accordingly.


RACE 5 – (6) AYR BALMORAL GB was stuck with an awful trip last week but still finished up crisply for 4th –

he’s been a steady player in this class for weeks, and can be a much bigger threat tonight with smoother sailing. (4)

DEALERS TURN endured a couple of bad trips at this level 3 and 4 starts back but delivered a game first over

victory last week – he’s a threat to repeat, especially if Holland can get him a quick start, and easier trip. (5) AMERI

CAGREATAGAIN made the lead from Post 8 last week then battled #4 hard from 3/4s to the wire for a very game

2nd best (2nd time for his new barn) – legitimate threat once again. (8) MANHATTAN ARTIST finished well in his

last pair but gets stuck outside again – not sure Bartlett can find him a way into the hunt from out here, but a big

price makes him worth at least a look. (1) SAN JOSE gave it a good try 2 back in his first local start (and just 2nd

career outing) but was no threat in his last – we’ll have to see which version shows up tonight. (3) SWISS COTTON

is a fresh face from the Midwest but it would seem he’ll need to improve a bit for his new barn to threaten here. (7)

WARRIOR FOR TRUTH probably lacked room in his first local try then was a very game first over 2nd last week –

the obvious issue tonight is the draw. (2) HURRIKANE MIKI returns from PA and still seems a little bit cheap.


RACE 6 – (4) STAY GROUNDED struggled a bit when taking on the very tough 3-5YO Open horses but has

looked much better (out of town) vs. easier competition – he lands in an “ok” NW15000 tonight, and this may be a

field he can do some damage in. (7) SONNY WEAVER N hasn’t been on his best game but may come to life with

tonight’s class drop – he should offer a good price from out here, and he’s worth considering. (3) WATTSUP SUNS

HINE A started to find his best U.S. form recently but came up a bit flat last week – can have a say here, but only if

he brings his best. (1) ODDS ON CAPTALISM was a solid 2nd upon arrival from Ohio then had Post 8 last week –

moves all the way inside, and should be able to be right in the mix from start to finish. (6) THE REAL ONE gets

another poor draw but is sharp enough for at least a chance to rally for a small piece– it’s a tribute to his connections

that he’s still able to be a solid racehorse at age 14, especially after all the strong years he’s put in! (2) BRAEVIEW

BONDI A likely needs to be in easier for a chance at a top prize, but a good trip could give him a shot at a small

slice. (5) KARLOO BRADLEY N is an infrequent winner, and now moves up another class – may find these a little

tough for his tastes. (8) BELMONT MAJOR N will look better next week with a class drop, and better post.


RACE 7 – (2) WHATS STANLEY GOT A was pushed wide two back and still hung in pretty well – he followed

that up with a solid rally for 3rd last week, and lands in a much better spot for tonight – we’ll give him the narrow

edge over the also dropping (1) TIP TOP CAT. The latter drops off a crisp finishing 3rd in the 3-5YO Open, and is a

solid player almost every week, at multiple tracks – he’s also just 1 for 15 this year (0 for 5 at Yonkers), and that’s

why we’re leaning a bit more to #2 for the top slot. (6) TICKERTAPE HANOVER was heavily backed last week

(after winning the week before) but got stung for the top and just couldn’t keep it going in the lane – tough draw

(while up in class), but still can challenge for a good piece. (4) SON OF A TIGER N continues to overachieve,

grabbing pieces (at good prices!) every week – still a good one for 3rd/4th. (3) C BET HANOVER was 2

nd best toNIGHT HAWK 2 back, then upset heavily favored FAMILY RECIPE last week – steps up another notch, but sharp

enough to contend for a piece. (7) CHANTEE just exploded from the back last week to pace over the field in the

lane, exploding the tote board as well – he’ll be another juicy price tonight if you think he can pull it off again. (8)

THE GOOD DOCTOR crushed a NW15000 field off the class drop 3 back but wasn’t nearly as good in his last pair

– tonight’s draw doesn’t help. (5) MASONS DELIGHT N wasn’t bad last week but does seem a bit overmatched.


RACE 8 – (1) HUMBLE A qualified for the first time in the U.S. like he’d probably be tough in his first start... but

it would have been hard to foresee the 10 length, 1:51.3 demolition that he delivered – would be impossible to make

any realistic case against him tonight, a likely $2.10 winner. (3) TIMELY BET sat last with no prayer in his local

debut but did finish willingly at the end– moves in from Post 8 and may be able to add some value to the exotics. (2)

KID FROM THE BRONX got parked last week and certainly gets a pass – he’s been good since changing hands this

summer, and is a logical one to complete the exacta. (4) D A MCDREAMY was right there 3rd in his local debut but

lost all chance after an early miscue last week – chance to land somewhere on the ticket with a clean mile. (5) TEXA

S HOLDEM stole a slow half and was able to steal a victory 2 back, but wasn’t as sharp last week – chance for a

small share. (6) SPRING BLAKE was able to rally for 2nd over a tight bunch last week (WAY behind the top choice)

but it would be hard to really say he was “sharp” – could get overbet here. (8) ICACO HANOVER hasn’t been sharp

since missing time after a sick scratch, and now gets stuck with Post 8 – waiting for some better signs. (7) FINAL

CHANCE seems unlikely to get into the hunt from out here.


RACE 9 – (4) VERDUN comes into tonight with a 3 race winning streak, including last week’s stretch explosion

from a seemingly tough spot on the final bend – other than a couple of starts in August he’s been outstanding here at

Yonkers (for 2 different barns), and certainly deserves top billing as he looks to pick up his 12th win of the season.

(3) PANETTONE HANOVER was starting to come around a bit for his previous barn but he quickly showed

dramatic improvement after changing trainers 3 starts back – more than sharp enough right now to have a big say

here. (1) TWIN B SEAMONSTER couldn’t keep it going last week (first local try facing tougher than he’s used to)

but he certainly wasn’t bad, and was racing off 24 days – eligible to be sharper tonight, and worthy of a spot in your

exotics. (2) BLUE HUNT (as noted here before) has no shortage of ability, but he can be hard to motivate at times –

he looked ready to pack it in on the final bend last week but somehow was an easy winner once he got going in the

lane, and found his stride – he’ll need to keep his head in the game throughout to be a threat with these tonight. (8)

VENTURESOME ARDEN N has been a favorite of ours all year and has enjoyed an outstanding season (9 wins,

$245K) – he MAY be a bit off his best right now, however, and Post 8 isn’t going to help his cause. (5) JOEMIKIYO

URSOFINE has come close a few times but probably looking at a conservative steer tonight after getting parked the

mile last week – maybe a minor piece? (6) HAZEVILLE hasn’t been a threat lately, and actually fits the cheapest

classes right now – will give him a look when he finally takes some class relief. (7) SPORTY M THREE is up in

class and starting from Post 7 – brutal spot.

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