Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • September 26, 2022

The Empire Report - Tuesday, September 27, 2022 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (3) PYRO was plagued by inconsistency at times (in the past) but still managed to bang out 18

wins and $362K (so far!) in 2021-22...he returns from PA in very sharp form, and lands at a level very

much within his comfort zone - catches an overall solid bunch, but it still the one to knock off. (1) SETH

HANOVER had no chance from Post 8 last week but was in career form in the starts leading up to it -

moves all the way inside, and a return to that sharper form is expected - should be a player from start to

finish. (5) WINDSUN RICKY raced really well when a tough luck 2nd two back, so it was surprising to

see him pay 18-1 in last week's wire to wire victory - looking at a tougher trip tonight, but still a threat to

grab another good piece. (4) OUR CORELLI N probably just didn't care for the off going 2 back because

he bounced right back with a sharp front end score last week - Bartlett back on board, and he can be in the

hunt here with a decent journey. (6) SAULSBROOK HERO has been sharp for a long time, but his racing

style makes him prone to tough trips - he'll be coming from way back again tonight, but he's sharp enough

to still have a chance at a good piece...with some racing luck. (2) MULLINAX seems to need easier for a

chance to get his picture taken, but he's good enough to grab a piece with these from an inside spot like this.

(7) PEACE OUT POSSE has been solid lately, and comes into tonight off a sharp front end try from Post 6

- not sure he'll have as good a trip tonight, but can make some noise if things do go his way. (8) FOREVER

FAV has been finishing well every week off easy trips, but will need an awful lot to go his way to reach

from all the way out here.


RACE 2 - (7) MABALENE N is moving up in class and draws Post 7 but she couldn't have looked any

better in her 2 U.S. victories, and was sent off as the 1/10 favorite each time - may have to be used a bit

harder tonight, but it's still tough to go against her right now. (5) CHERYLS SHADOW won her first 3

local starts in identical fashion - hitting the top, rating the pace, then sprinting home under :28 seconds to

seal the victories - wasn't able to hold off the tripsitter in her 4th try but did race well the next week, caught

wide on both the first and final turn, and still just missing 2nd - could be next in line. (4) LOVE THAT

SMILE was sent off favored upon arrival from Canada but was a no match 2nd to the standout winner -

eligible to be sharper the 2nd time around, and clearly belongs in exotics. (2) FOX VALLEY CACHET

finished a well beaten 3rd behind the top choice in her last couple, and seems destined for a similar result

tonight. (3) BEST KEEPSAKE has a couple of recent 2nds in NJ in a cheaper class, but tired badly here in

a start last March - not quite sure what to expect tonight. (1) TAVA generally throws in an "ok" try when

she draws inside and may be able to grab a minor share from the pole tonight. (6) NITE TIME DEAL has

had a mixed 3YO season, including a mixed bag of local efforts - she draws poorly off a sick scratch, and

that has us leaning to others.


RACE 3 - (5) LADY DELA RENTAA went a HUGE effort last week (at 11-1), and really deserved to win

that race - her price will come down considerably tonight, but she'll probably still be worth a play as she

looks to avenge last week's tough beat. (3) JOSSIE JAMES A was used a bit early on last week to end up

with the two hole trip, and shook free just in time to outkick the top choice for the victory - she's a big

threat to win any time she's entered in this class. (1) LOOKATMYART was used a bit harder than she'd like

last week but still was a close 3rd behind the top pair - she's having an outstanding season, and has a very

legitimate chance to come out on top here from the pole. (2) ITS MESMERISE N wasn't bad in her only

local start this year (no chance spot), and does seem to be a good fit with these - an easy trip could land her

somewhere on this ticket. (6) PAIGES GIRL had good pace after the fact last week, and was 2nd at PcD

prior to that - probably not a threat to win, but certainly can be used for a small piece. (7) AHOY has been

on our tickets several times recently but she continues to disappoint - the outside draw surely won't help her

chances tonight. (4) CORAL BELLA has been in a tailspin for a long time - she may need a freshening, but

at the very least a class drop would help. (8) FLOSSIE N seems ambitiously placed at this level, and Post 8

just makes things worse.


RACE 4 - (5) TRUE BLUE HANOVER showed promise right off the bat, missing by a nose at Stga. in her

2YO career debut - broke in her next at Tioga but finished with plenty of pace in her next start (right here at

Yonkers), followed by wins at Freehold and at The Swamp (in a lifetime best 1:52.4, last week) - Smith

should have enough confidence to drive her like she's the best (3) AMERICAN BEACHBABE added Lasix

two back and has a 3rd and a 2nd at PcD since then - should be a good fit with these. (2) ADDISON SEE

LSTER may have been bothered a bit on the final turn last week, but it was still just a "meh" effort - she

seems capable of better, and maybe tonight we'll finally see it? (1) ROLL WITH SHORTY looked better

for a couple of starts but has settled back into her lesser form - she's now 1 for 39, and looking at only a

minor piece, even from the pole. (6) LADYSHOOTSTHEBLUES is 0 for 34 herself, but gave it a big try

cutting the mile from Post 8 last week, and now adds Lasix for tonight - willing to throw her in underneath.

(7) THE LETTER hasn't really been able to get anything going so far as a 3YO - couple of (slow) ok PcD

qualifiers, but a terrible draw figures to limit her for tonight. (8) NOT SO EVIL liked those 4 horse, NJ

Sired "stakes" fields a lot better than these local NW2 spots - has struggled in the latter stages from good

posts, and now has to contend with Post 8. (4) EILEENS WISH shows a bunch of ordinary tries vs. softer

NW2 Tioga fields - prefer others.


RACE 5 - (1) WAITFOREVER N wasn't serious after drawing Post 8 for her U.S. debut, but did finish

alertly, and wasn't far off 4th - expect a much more aggressive try tonight....and possibly a trip to the

winner's circle. (3) HAMPTONS BABE showed some promise at 2 but had just an "ok" NYSS season at 3 -

was a well beaten 2nd behind the good looking (ten cents on the dollar!) MABALENE N last week, and

figures to be a very serious threat against these. (5) CLEAR THE WAY finished up well from no chance

spots the last 2 weeks after a pair of wins right before that - she should race well here too, and may be next

in line should the top two falter. (2) TONYS MOM gave it an aggressive try last week, had things all her

own way, and still got run down by a filly that could barely hit a pace for much of the mile - small piece

only. (7) MISS DOTTIE MAE will probably have a tough time getting close to the action but she's always

finishing well, and is a good bomb to use for 3rd/4th...hoping for some trip luck. (6) KILEE ROCKS just

missed 2 back, but was no factor last week - another bomb with a chance to land on the bottom of the ticket

(4) MADELYNN SOPHIA has pretty ordinary NW2 PcD lines but does add Lasix and gets Siegelman in

the bike - maybe she can improve enough to grab a piece? CHILLIN BYTHE POOL just seems off her

game right now, AND gets stuck behind the 8 ball.


RACE 6 - Good race: (5) JACANA was a pretty steady Excelsior A filly throughout the summer - she

raced well recently against older mares at PcD, and just missed 2nd here last week (even though 4th) - gets

a big barn change for tonight, and is worth a shot in this pretty wide open affair. (7) COMMANDER CAT

HY N has raced well in a lot of her starts since arriving from Down Under....but she's amazingly 0 for 25

here at Yonkers - it's hard to pick her on top (for obvious reasons), but she DOES fit very well with these,

even from out here - at least look for a big price if considering her on top of your tickets. (4) SOMESWEE

TSOMEWHERE kicked home in :27.3 on 8/0 but still came up 2nd best to CHERYLS SHADOW - won

her next pair, and gets a pass for last week's effort in the TSS Final - back to YR, and a major threat tonight

(6) SO FIA LOLITA was 3rd in her first 3 starts for her current connections before grabbing that pocket

win here 2 back - got roughed up pretty hard last week, however, and tired badly once into the stretch -

guessing she'll be handled more conservatively tonight, and that may leave her too far back for more than a

smaller share. (8) PURE SILKY was 4 for 4 as a 2YO (Indiana Fairs) then did good work this year at 3,

compiling an 18-4-4-2 record that included plenty of good tries at Hoosier - lands in a barn that does well

with these and should be a good fit...but hard to say how "serious" she'll be from Post 8 in her local debut -

check the tote board for clues? (2) AMERICAN HALO added some consistency recently and was a winner

in the Excelsior A Final last week - seems a notch below a few of the top ones here, but we'll learn more

after tonight. (1) PREMIER SWEETALKER charged home to win her NW2 local debut for our leading

barn but was steppy at times - was even harder to handle last week and made a break (bobble?) on the final

turn that resulted in her disqualification, after Bartlett somehow got her to the wire in front - takes a BIG

jump to NW6 here, and will need to pace a lot cleaner to have a chance against these. (3) SHORTYS GIRL

is one of several horses that this owner recently moved away from the Dynamic Duo - this is a pretty tough

spot for her to debut for her new barn.


RACE 7 - (1) DP REALORDEAL charged home to win his local debut impressively on 9/13 - was a juicy

6-1 last week and raced super, coming first over and kicking home in :27.1....only to come up a close 2nd

best to newcomer BB LUCKY BOY - he'll be the 2nd choice once again, but maybe this week he can turn

the tables on his main rival. (5) BB LUCKY BOY arrived from Hoosier and was going from a trainer with

a one horse barn to the leading conditioner on the planet right now...so it was no surprise to see him sent off

as the 1/5 choice, and to kick home in :27.1 to deliver the impressive 1:52.1 victory - clearly the one to beat

once again. (2) HUNTSVILLE PLACE came up 2nd best to the top choice 2 back, then wired an easier

field last week - in a good spot to sit 3rd and finish right behind the top pair, assuming he's not overdriven.

(4) AMERICAN WAY continues to pick up nice pieces of the $18K purse every week and the good draw

will give him a chance to do the same tonight. (3) COLD CREEK FELIPE races a little differently every

start - he'll need to bring his "good' version if he wants to stick around for a small piece here. (6) DRAGON

CITY has been a steady NW3/4 performer in PA - lands a tough spot for his local debut, however, and will

need some trip luck to find his way into contention for a piece. (7) EXOTIC SAND has been a very

consistent performer for a while, but he draws poorly tonight and loses his local catch drivers - may have to

wait for a better scenario. (8) CURBSIDE PICKUP raced well for 3rd last week with the better post, but the

move back outside will severely hurt his chances tonight.


RACE 8 - (1) MILLWOOD BONNIE has been pretty consistent lately and comes into tonight off a wire to

wire victory in this class last week - decent chance she can do the very same thing tonight. (2) ACEFOURT

YFOURALEX normally wouldn't get a look up at this level but she's been feeling pretty good lately, and

should land on a decent trip from this spot - she also has a hot pilot (Holland), and may be able to grab a

piece of this. (3) LAURIE LEE has been a little in and out lately but she has a pair of recent 2nds, and she

can have a say tonight if she brings one of her better efforts. (6) ASHTINI may have drawn too far out to

contend for a top prize, but she definitely has a chance to rally late for a piece - maybe can add some value

to the exotics? (4) DIAMONDTOOTHGERTIE is a little tough to gauge here - she struggled in a big chunk

of her local starts this year, but has been racing much better in PA lately - we'll see how she fares in her

Hilltop return. (8) CAVIART CHERIE came up with a very good effort when 2nd on 8/30 then built off that

with the sharp front end score on 9/6 - she was scratched injured from her next, however, and now lands all

the way outside - would be hard to back her with any real confidence under the circumstances. (7) BRIAR

can go with these under the right scenario, but she usually doesn't leave the gate and that figures to leave

her too far back to do any real damage. (5) ENGLISH ROSE N beat cheaper here in July and returns off

sharp tries vs. cheaper at Fhd. - may find these a little too tough, though.


RACE 9 - (5) BELTANE N battled a long way with a very sharp SMOKIN BY N before missing by a nose

2 back - kicked home with plenty of pace to be a close 3rd vs. the 75s last week, and he can be a BIG threat

in the finale if Marohn can find him the right trip - price should be decent. (6) SHADOW CAT is always a

threat at this level, and is pretty good right now - if Holland can send him out and grab the top or pocket, he

can be very dangerous. (2) FAMILY RECIPE beat this class (and one higher) in his first 2 local starts this

summer- hung in as best he could when stuck in the Open for a while, but he really didn't look good the

last 2 weeks after finally dropping - he can be a major threat here IF he gets back to his "A Game"....but

that's a big IF. (4) VELOCITY KOMODO deserves a pass for last week's early miscue - he goes back to

Jordan now, and he has 13 local wins over the past 2 years - worth considering at the right price. (3) WATE

RWAY has been pretty good all year, but would prefer to be in a bit easier - a good trip may help him land

somewhere in the exotics, even with these. (1) ST LADS BEAT IT is racing pretty well right now, but he's

been struggling on turns and that's going to be tough to overcome at this elevated level - prefer others for

the top slots. (8) ROLLING WITH SAM has been "meh" in his last few starts vs. the 75s - hard to get

excited about his chances from Post 8. (7) GINGRAS BEACH would probably need an inside draw to be a

player up at this level - drops a 2nd and a win off his card the next 2 starts, so look for him as he starts

dropping in class....soon!

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