The Empire Report - Thursday, September 29, 2022 - Race Analysis
RACE 1 - (1) FOXY FIJI won 7 of 17 in Ohio this year, and was racing in some high classes - debuts at a
winning level for her new barn, but she's also been off for 4 weeks - we'll give her the nod, but it would be
hard to accept too short a price knowing she MAY be short. (2) RIGHTFULLY MINE has a new trainer
listed this week, and it's one that wins with more than half of his new horses (her former trainer
coincidentally also has one in here, from Post 8) - there certainly the possibility for major improvement,
and possibly a victory...but she's also certain to be significantly overbet. (6) KAT responded to the barn
change last week in NJ, scoring in her first start down from Canada while also taking a new lifetime mark -
up in class and a tough post for tonight, but hard to not at least give her some consideration. (4) SPORTS
FLIX turned in a much better effort last week, being used early and finishing well once free - chance to
land somewhere on this ticket with a similar effort. (3) CORSINI A is just 1 for 13 here but has hit board a
few other times - one to include underneath. (8) SARAHS LILLY raced "ok" in both local tries and gets a
class drop tonight - she also draws post 8, which may offset the positive angles. (5) MILADY DENVER A
throws a good one now and then but she throws way too many duds to seriously consider in this spot. (7)
BALFAST N is still trying to find her form after the time off
RACE 2 - (3) A CRAFTY LADY is just 1 for 25 here (last 3 years) and 9-0-0-0 for 2022...but she's racing
MUCH better at Chester in her last few, and does have back class - catches a questionable crew, and may be
in a spot to finally do some good at Yonkers. (1) CASH ROLL will surely be heavily backed off that last 10
hole try in NJ but she burned plenty of $$ here earlier this summer in other seemingly "easy" spots - don't
fall in love with her at a short price. (5) LADYBELUCKYTONITE won 6X here last year but is just 1 for
24 locally in 2022 - she has to be respected at this bottom level, but she's another that's hard to endorse with
any real confidence at a short price. (6) NORMANS MADELINE picked up 2nd last week behind the
runaway winner, but may have just been in the right place at the right time - she often puts together 2-3
good efforts at a time, so it would hardly be a shock to see her race well tonight. (2) TAKEN CONTROL
wasn't horrible in her local debut last week, but still seems a little cheaper. (4) LOUD BRAZILIAN is
14-0-1-0 at Yonkers and hard to get excited about against these. (7) SCANDALICIOUS was struggling
even before being scratched sick last week
RACE 3 - Tough race: (5) TEMPUS SEELSTER was really struggling here in July/August but came to life
(vs. cheaper) at Tioga - no chance from Post 8 in her YR return last week, but maybe she can do some
damage tonight from this better post. (4) POPPY DRAYTON N finished alertly from a difficult spot last
week, and gets some post relief for tonight - should be a decent value play in a race filled with possibilities.
(6) IDEATION HANOVER raced well for 3rds in two recent local starts - probably the one to beat, but
she'll be a short price from a tough post, and may be a bit vulnerable. (1) THUNDRA was a decent 3rd
behind a couple of nice mares last week - draws best for tonight, and would be no surprise at all. (3)
BETTORS HEART N showed a lot of promise when she arrived in the U.S. 3 years ago but leveled off
soon after, and this is pretty much her level - arrives from Pocono off a sick scratch, so insist on a decent
price if trying her on top. (2) CRUSH ME picked up a nice 2nd in her local debut but was no factor last
week from Post 8 - the move back inside will help for sure, but she just may be a little cheaper than a few
of these - we shall see. (8) EDGE OF ETERNITY moves to a new barn and has faced better here in the past
- draws all the way outside, however, and this might be a spot to just observe her. (7) SEZANA N picked
up a rare win 3 back but seems unlikely to be a player from this spot
RACE 4 - (1) SOME KINDAANGEL rallied crisply from too far back returning from Pocono last week,
and raced well here (vs. better) in a couple of July starts - gets top billing from the pole tonight. (4) BETTO
RSHIGHLIGHT N cut the mile 2 back and just missed hanging on to a mare that also jogged the next start
- willing to just ignore last week's 8 hole try and look for a much better effort this week, moving back
inside and reuniting with Bartlett. (3) TIGERS WATCHING N hasn't really thrived in her short time in the
U.S., but it's far too early to write her off - maybe she'll have better luck in her Yonkers debut? (8) ALWA
YS BE COOL is in a brutal spot but she does throw her share of good efforts - maybe can add some value
to the exotics? (5) CABOWABOCUTTIE is winless here over the last 3 years (52 starts!) but does grab her
share of pieces - maybe 3rd/4th? (2) E R HILARY looked like she MAY finally be coming around but then
regressed quickly - maybe the inside draw can help her grab a piece? (7) ALWAYS A MIRACLE dug in to
pick up a win 2 back but she does seem unlikely to match that effort from Post 7. (6) ALMOST KAREN
was sent off at 32-1 from the rail last start but was able to last for a non-threatening 3rd - the move outside
figures to hurt her chances tonight, however
RACE 5 - (4) NICE GUY EDDIE showed solid ability for one of the top trotting barns before recently
moving to new connections - he went a big mile in a PASS right off the bat, then followed that up with a
good maintenance qualifier - he'll be pretty tough here as long as he behaves over the Hilltop oval. (3)
WALK WITH ME did good work at the Indiana Fairs this year and brought that good form along with her
to the east coast, just missing in her local debut - could be next in line, with a chance to take this if the top
one falters. (7) CANTSTOP YANKEE has a win and two 3rds from his 4 local tries and certainly is a good
fit with these- hard to say if Dube can find him a manageable trip from out here, though (5) CHAPERIDGE
changed barns and added Lasix for that start on 8/4 but really disappointed that night - was freshened up
and qualified back nicely, so we'll see if he can have a bigger say tonight. (1) JULA SILVER STATE really
had no excuse when 2nd here in June, then broke here in his last - figures to be overbet from the rail with
Bartlett, and there just seems to be better value with others. (8) MAGICAL MAJOR draws yet another
terrible post, and that figures to limit him to another minor share. (6) FLYING FORMATION adds Lasix
but he has just two 3rds from 11 career starts, and others just look more appealing. (2) RISE ABOVE IT
ships in from Monti and just seems a bit cheaper than these
RACE 6 - (1) REACHTHRUTHESKY AS has been having some issues on turn and did make a break (in
the back) last week - on the flip side, she moves all the way inside, and goes back to Stratton (who knows
her well, and does best with her) - since she'll probably be a fair price, we'll give her the narrow edge here.
(6) THINK OF GALAXIES was 2nd at Chester off the barn change then delivered back to back wins at
PcD, over the off going - she takes a big jump up here, but she just may be up for it - another that should
offer a decent price. (4) TECHYS ANGEL A disappointed 2 back (off a bad date) but rebounded with a
nice speed try last week - her best effort would give her a chance to beat these. (2) GINGER TREE LIZ
seemed to be in a nice spot 2 back but she struggled through the final turn and cost herself any real chance -
last week she seemed hard to control early on, and MAY have shut off her air during the mile - eligible to
show up and beat these if on her best game tonight, but she seems a little risky right now to use at too short
a price. (3) WESTERN ROSIE has been settling for minor pieces lately, and may be destined for a similar
result tonight - a class drop would really help her. (7) ANDRA DAY came back around quickly after
moving to this barn in late July, but faces an uphill battle from Post 7 - maybe she can rally for a small
piece, with the right trip? (5) ALWAYS B MIMI crushed her foes off the claim last week, but figures to find
the competition tonight a lot tougher!
RACE 7 - (4) HAND DOVER DAN won 14 of 39 starts in Indiana and brought those winning ways with
him to the east coast for his new connections, scoring impressively in his first try at Pocono - he'll take on
tougher in his local debut, but we'll still give him top billing tonight. (5) SECRET OR NOT broke in his
well backed local debut but won his next (after re-qualifying), then was an excellent 3rd last week - could
be the main danger. (1) BACKSTREET PLAYER has been solid since arriving at Yonkers 5 starts back,
and adding Lasix recently has helped as well - have to include him in exotics from this spot. (3) WEE JILL
has been 2nd in 3 of her last 4 starts, making a break in the other - another that needs to be included
underneath (6) PRECISE FASHION was handled conservatively when 2nd 2 back, and found just enough
through the lane to win last week - moves up a level and draws outside all his main foes...and that figures to
hurt his chances a bit (8) EXCHEQUER has failed to finish well in a lot of recent starts so last week's better
finish was noteworthy - unfortunately, he draws all the way outside tonight. (2) MATT DO SURE draws
well and adds Lasix...but does seem quite a bit below the main players. (7) JESSIES OUTLAWED would
need things to really fall apart to get close from out here
RACE 8 - (6) EASY TO PLEASE is an amazing 18-9-6-2 at Yonkers over the past 2 years, and the 4YO
has shown that she can beat her older rivals at this level - she should be able to land on some sort of decent
cover (despite the tough post), and she figures to be a decent price...worth a look here. (5) DELITFULCAT
HERIN N has been outstanding since joining these connections in July - she's gone some beastly miles here
and deserves all kind of respect....but she's been away for 3 weeks, and this may not be a bad time to take a
shot against her, at a short price. (4) DRAGON ROLL has hit board in 7 straight, and has been 1st or 2nd in
34 of her local starts over the past 2 years - hard to leave her out of the exotics. (7) MCMARKLE
SPARKLE was a "brush and crush" winner in last week's (easier) Open, and now also gets stuck with Post
7 - she can still race well here, but is likely looking at a smaller piece this time. (3) SIESTA BEACH has
been very consistent for a while now, but still may be a notch below the top ones these days - wouldn't be
shocked to see her win, but still prefer others for the top slots. (2) WESTBEACH and (1) ANNABELLE
HANOVER finished 1-2 last week vs. cheaper - they both draw inside tonight, but still will need to elevate
their games to battle the big girls
RACE 9 - (4) MAN DONTFORGET ME was racing off the layoff last week and came up 2nd best to the
heavy favorite - she should be ready for her best now, and we'll hop on board her team. (1) DC BATGIRL's
only recent win came vs. a bit easier, but she can hang with these too (especially from the rail) - look for
her to be right there all the way, with a chance at the top prize. (2) DARBY HANOVER brushed to the lead
to 3/4s last week and looked like a winner...but weakened in the lane with no excuses - prefer the top two,
bit could easily see her winning if she brings her best tonight. (3) TOBAGO TIME threw a dud 2 back but
that line is sandwiched between a pair of solid 3rds - include underneath in exotics. (7) GALLERIA GAL is
pretty good right now, but another bad post figures to limit her to minor spoils tonight. (8) DISARONNO
HILL has done her better work (in Ohio) vs. a bit easier - lands in a brutal spot for her local debut. (6) NAD
INA HANOVER raced well at 2 and 3 but she'll take on tough older mares tonight and she may not be
ready for this (much) tougher assignment! (5) GABBYS GIRL seems overmatched against these
RACE 10 - (1) CHAPHEART jogged in his last local try (NW4) and returns to YR off a nice 4th in the
NYSS Final - wouldn't say he's a cinch here, but he's definitely the one to beat with the rail draw. (5) STAR
LIT RAMBO won his first local start (Nw4) on 8/18 - turned a trip of 3rd place finishes vs. some talented
foes after that, then got back to the winner's circle last week - legitimate threat in here. (3) VILLAIN was
overbet last week but to add insult to injury, he also came up absolutely horrible - he did win impressively
the start before that, however, and a return to form is possible - consider only if the price is decent. (6) BIG
CHARLIE MORAN went some really sharp miles this summer, but his last couple at Fhd. suggest he's
tailed a bit - we'll see if reuniting with Siegelman can help him perk back up here. (4) YUCATAN PARTY
MAN has enjoyed an overall solid 4YO campaign, but he's another that seems a bit off his best right now -
minor piece? (8) VELVET STYLE has ability but much like last week, he figures to be coming from too far
back to do any really serious damage. (2) REEL EM IN won an amateur event here last week but does look
to be a little cheaper than the main contenders. (7) BLOGMASTER broke 2 back, changed hands, then was
empty last week for his new connections