Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • November 14, 2023

The Empire Report - Tuesday, November 14, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (4) BLUEBIRD RECON showed some better life 2 back then built on that last week, a solid 2nd

best to the favorite - assuming he used his speed to create a good trip for himself here, he should be a solid

player once more. (7) HEART ON MY SLEEVE can be frustratingly inconsistent but when "in the mood",

is surely a very live player at this level (see last week) - if Bartlett can get him a good spot without using

him too hard he should have a big chance here...but he also figures to be overbet, even from Post 7. (3) LY

ONS LIBERTY was very good from Post 8 two back but he's another inconsistent player, and disappointed

last week- he's also winless in 27 YR starts, and seems better used underneath, than on top (8) MAXIMUS

RED A is more than capable at this bottom level but he's also just 2 for 28 this year and starting from Post 8

- would consider IF the price is good enough. (3) SHOREVIEW is still winless on the year and hard to ever

consider for more than a minor piece. (1) LADYBELUCKYTONITE is one of a couple of mares the barn

has chosen to drop in against males tonight - sticking with others. (6) NOCH TEN was racing ok in PA vs.

15s but bottomed in the pocket in NJ last week behind the runaway winner- tough draw upon arrival (5)

AINT HE SPECIAL has been an "autotoss" for months - at least he rarely gets in anybody's way.


RACE 2 - Tough race: (5) HESTONATOR wasn't bad at all when 3rd in his local debut - was well meant in

last but went offstride when caught very wide into the first turn, was hurt by bad gapper after recovering

and really wasn't a bad 4th - maybe this is a field he can handle? (2) CELLMATE has been a very steady

performer at a few smaller venues and ships in off a nice VD victory (racing off a month) - wouldn't be a

shock if he was a good fit with the locals. (3) LOOTABLE was definitely better last week and could easily

be a player tonight....but he's listed as the 2-1 ML choice while just 1 for 30 lifetime, and that could create

better value with a few others. (1) TOMMY THREE STICKS was well backed for his YR debut but he was

off to an awkward start then broke early on - perhaps his new barn will have worked out the bugs for

tonight? (7) CHESAPEAKE SUNRISE was sent off favored in his local debut but ended up tiring (then

going offstride) after being used VERY hard - certainly worth at least considering at that 20-1 ML price. (6)

CHIEF CORLEONE was used hard last time and wasn't a bad 2nd place finisher - would have been listed

higher with a better draw. (4) JUST CALL ME ART used an easy trip to pick up 3rd last week, and was

rough for a while in the lane - maybe minor spoils?


RACE 3 - Another tough race: (6) BRAEVIEW BONDI A ships back in from PA off a pair of victories

over cheaper - he'll be facing considerably tougher now, but his confidence level should be high and this

class is within his comfort zone when sharp - one of several with a legitimate chance in here. (4) THRASH

ER hasn't been bad, he's just been unable to rally much into a few hot miles - the right trip makes him a live

player with these. (1) STATEMENT MADE A hasn't won in some time but he's remained a steady player in

40s - more importantly, his barn has come to life in a big way lately, and deserves respect with anything

they send out. (5) JUSTASEC N has gone many miles that would make him a big threat here but his current

form does feel a bit off- we'll see if the class drop lights a spark in him. (7) SAMHARA N hasn't been great

from the pole in his last couple but he was also facing some sharp ones - he did win from Post 7 4 back (vs.

cheaper), and could be worth a stab if the price gets high enough. (2) REAL WILLEY has a mixed bag of

recent efforts - when he's able to relax, he tends to race well...maybe a small slice? (3) ALEX TYE can hold

his own with these but likely needs to be in a bit cheaper to contend for a top prize. (8) CAUGHTINA

LANDSLIDE is sharp for sure...but will need a lot to go his way to reach from out here.


RACE 4 - (1) ADAM TWELVE went a big mile in his local debut (first time for our leading trainer),

battling all he could before coming up a head short to the very talented BLUE HUNT - looms a very short

priced favorite tonight. (6) JOHNNY SACK had been showing better signs lately and was actually a very

good 2nd last week - may be able to complete the exacta once more. (8) CENTURY INSPECTOR is light

in the win column but he's been a steady player against these types for some time, and does have the speed

to improve position at the start - use in exotics. (7) RAYRAY is sharper than his lines might look but he's

been cursed by some horrible posts - unfortunately, he lands another awful draw for tonight - still, a good

bomb to include underneath. (5) CLEVELAND B MIKI graduated from the NW4 class with last week's

pocket victory - faces tougher now, but may be able to pick up a small slice with an easy trip. (2) UNDER

YOUR SCARS has been "steady" for some time - may be a bit below a few of these, but the good draw

does make him a contender for a small piece. (4) PINE BUSH ITALIANO returns to YR showing some

better form but his 9-0-0-0 local slate this year is hard to overlook. (3) KNOCKIN OUT came out on top

vs. cheaper last week, in a "fall apart" race - may struggle with these, however.


RACE 5 - (2) TRAFALGAR has now taken 4 of her last 5 starts (8 hole in the other) . is hitting on all

cylinders and even gets Bartlett to bail off his top client's horse (#4) to drive this mare - remains the one to

beat, though the price will be tiny. (4) SUGAR BRITCHES has looked good since joining our leading barn

(no surprise there), and made her first try in this class a winning one - may prove the main danger, with

Brennan substituting for Bartlett. (6) LINE EM UP has been solid against some good mare at PcD and has

won her fair share of races at YR in the past - tough draw, but still worth at least a look at a big price. (1)

LOOKATMYART has held her form remarkably well after being claimed from our top trainer by lower

profile connections - definitely sharp enough to at least have a say from the pole. (3) BETTER DOUBLE

FLIP can be somewhat in-and-out but is capable of grabbing a small piece here if she shows up in the right

mood. (5) OURLITTLEMIRACLE drops back in for the $50K tag and has struggled a bit in this class in

the past- minor share only. (7) GOLDEN QUEST N raced ok off a tough trip last week but is likely looking

at another bad journey from this outside spot. (8) PARTY CRUISER likely needs a much kinder spot.


RACE 6 - (2) JACKS LEGEND N may not be the Open pacer we've been used to seeing the past several

years but he's still a hard hitter and quite comfortable at these lower levels - he'll be a very short price for

sure, but does stick out as the one to knock off against this modest crew. (5) STRAIGHT UP COOL has

been on the upswing, and comes into tonight off a solid win vs. cheaper - may be able to grab a nice chunk

against these too. (1) AIR FORCE HANOVER is a tough call - his current form is certainly uninspiring but

this is the kind of spot he usually likes, and his barn has been really clicking recently - that last sick scratch

does add to the uncertainty, however. (7) HAMMERING HANK's efforts have been a bit mixed, even since

adding Lasix - if Siegelman can hustle him away to a good early spot, his chances for a good piece go up

considerably. (6) CAVIART SARGENT is yet another unpredictable player in here - on his best, he can

contend for a nice chunk...but he's pretty unreliable, and the poor draw won't make things any easier. (8)

MR PERFECT N can contend vs. much better when on his best game but he missed 25 days to his last (at

Tioga), and now lands all the way outside for his YR return - may look more appealing from a better spot

NEXT week? (3) GAMBLINGTERROR was able to pull off a nice upset last week, easily holding off the

tripsitting favorite - we'll see how he handles tonight's class jump. (4) GINGRAS BEACH was a sharp

winner 2 back, easily handling #5 - he reverted quickly to his lesser form last week, however.


RACE 7 - (7) B LIKE CRUISER hasn't been on his "best" game by any means, but it's not like he's been

terrible - Brennan should be able to work out a good trip for him (despite the draw), and give him a chance

to beat this modest bunch. (3) ANOTHERSTATEMENT A had a nice stretch of races at Tioga not too long

ago but his form has been more erratic since returning from that 9/10 sick scratch - his best effort would

make him a big threat here, especially with Kakaley picking up the drive. (1) INDICTABLE HANOVER

beat a couple of similar fields earlier this year but hasn't won locally in a long time since then - he may

have built some confidence off that last Monti jogburger, and he does have the pole with Bartlett...he also

figures to be wildly overbet. (4) HES ELECTRIC was handled more aggressively than he'd like last week

and predictably faded- his best chance is always to charge home late if things fall apart up front (8)

CAPTAINS PLACE's has only one win here this year and it did come from Post 8-- he was much sharper

then, however and it was also at 1 1/16th miles - likely looking at only a minor share tonight. (2) HES

GONNA GETYA is in need of a major wake up call. (6) SHADOWS TERROR debuts for the Super

Siblings but those weak looking qualifiers are very uncharacteristic for the barn. (5) LARJON LEAH is the

2nd mare from this barn electing to take on males tonight (and she's 0 for 24 here in 2023).


RACE 8 - (3) THE REGULATOR was well meant last week but never had any chance to pace in the lane -

Bartlett sticks with him (over #1), and he's one of several possibilities in this wide open affair. (1) SPLASH

BROTHER loved the class drop last week and crushed his rivals, despite Post 8 - moves all the way inside,

but does lose Bartlett to the top choice - hard to leave him off your tickets, but also hard to take too short a

price. (4) KINGSVILLE drops down to the level he beat 4 back and fits very nicely with these - the right

trip could make him very dangerous. (5) KASHED UP A had no chance last week, and was ok in his prior

few starts - his barn is always rock solid, and he could offer some value here. (2) ROLLING WITH SAM

has only managed smaller pieces with easier lately - needs an easy trip just for a minor share against these.

(6) VIVA LAS VEGAS N did beat this class 4 back but it's always hard to predict whether he'll show up on

any given week - tough spot, regardless. (7) YOROKOBI N was very sharp 3 back, just ok in his next then

no factor last week - seems post-compromised one again. (8) MICKY GEE N will be coming from last and

will have other closers in front of him - just feels like a very tough spot.


RACE 9 - (4) BETTERB CHEVRON N drops in for a tag (rather than continuing to bang heads with the

top class mares) and assuming that a wheel didn't just come off, that should make her pretty tough tonight -

definitely deserves top billing, but wouldn't bet the rent money at a short price. (6) ITTY BITTY only has a

couple of local starts over the last 3 years but she WAS a classy mare here at one time - her current out of

town form is hard to gauge, but she lands in a barn that has been waking them up lately, and that makes her

worth at least a look. (1) PURAMERI had her share of good efforts this summer but not sure why she just

took a month off and re-qualified - if she's ready to go, she can be part of the equation here. (7) ALWAYS B

MIMI raced much better with the post relief last week, and may have had a chance to win had she found

room into the stretch - moves back outside, however, and we'll see if Bartlett can find her a manageable trip

(3) MAGICAL MISTRESS has been picking up small pieces in 50s after the recent $20K claim - good one

for 3rd/4th. (2) ROCKNROLL ANNIE gets a good draw as she drops in for a tag but really does her most

damage on the lead, vs. cheaper - tough spot. (5) DREAM DANCING has been an in-and-outer for some

time - maybe a minor share with the right trip? (8) MIKI ROSE tends to struggle from spots like this.


RACE 10 - (1) AINTNOHOLLABACKGRL had been racing well vs. cheaper at Fhd. since a recent barn

change but was able to race well in her YR debut as well, rallying very nicely for 4th after sitting last all the

way - moves all the way inside, and may be a good value play in this pretty well matched finale. (4) ICAR

US FALLS N shipped in sharp from Monti then raced well in all 3 local starts too - legitimate player once

more. (5) SHOTGUN PERSUASION has been very reliable in this class and just missed 2nd and 3rd last

week, even though 4th - can never be counted out. (7) PLEASURE SEEKER has hit board in 5 straight,

though hasn't been able to find the winner's circle - remains a good one to include underneath. (3) ODDS

ON UNICORN made a decent recovery after losing all chance in her local debut with an early miscue - the

jury is still out on here, and couldn't blame anybody looking to give her a shot at a big price. (8) FLIP THE

SCRIPT was a dead game first over winner last week (for her hot barn) but may have trouble replicating

that performance from all the way out here - make sure to get a good price if using on top this week. (2)

BROOKDALE JESSIE is now at 0 for 64 over the last 2 years - the inside draw does at least give her a

chance at a minor check. (6) PRAY THE ROSARY gets a new pilot, but would still be hard to endorse.

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