Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • July 18, 2023

The Empire Report - Tuesday, July 18, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (1) SHAKE IT is just 1 for 10 this year but hit board in 8 of those starts - he's been finishing

right behind some good ones, and this may be a spot where HE can get to the winner's circle. (2) FEELIN

WESTERN has some very good efforts recently, and simply had no prayer last week from Post 8 - he's a bit

risky off 3 weeks, but the freshening may actually benefit him - worth a look (at least for exotics) if the

price is decent. (4) HECANDANCENCRUISE took a big rush at a sharp ULTIMAROCA last start and

held nicely to 2nd after being put away - he's capable of BIG efforts, though he's still a bit unproven at this

level - consider if the price is fair. (3) QUALITY BUD wasn't at his very best last week but was still a close

3rd - he's gone plenty of big miles this year, and that 10-1 ML price does make him worth considering. (5)

ROCK THE DEVIL seemed to be leveling off but did look better last week (even if not reflected in his

charted line) - could see him grabbing a piece if things go his way. (7) OAKWOODNITOWNIT IR can

battle even at the Open level when "right"...but he does seem to be off his game right now - would need a

big price to try him from Post 7. (6) ARDEN MESSI N loses Bartlett, and probably won't be as aggressive.


RACE 2 - (1) FEELIN RED HOT saw her modest 2 race winning streak snapped last week but it took a

fast mile by a promising import to do it - she drops into a much easier spot here, and looms a very short

priced winner. (2) SALE EL SOL had some mixed tries here earlier this year - returns in decent form from

Delaware, and may end up with a pocket trip (if #1 scares off any leavers) - could complete a short exacta.

(6) TOBAGO TIME has had success here in the past, but is just 1 for 18 this year - if SHE leaves the gate

maybe she can sit the two hole...and be the one to complete the exacta? (4) ACEFOURTYFOUR ALEX got

a surprisingly aggressive drive last week but that only put her in position to be blown away by the winner to

the final turn - she's good right now, and will be coming late...for some kind of piece. (3) PURA MERI

likely needs to be in easier to be a serious player. (5) PAIGES GIRL is just 1 for 22 this year, and not

particularly sharp lately - needs to up her game even for a small piece of this.


RACE 3 - (5) PACE N PRIDE N was ultra well meant off last week's class drop but was overdriven,

ending up in a hard battle that left him a little tired at the end - may be able to make amends with a kinder

journey tonight. (2) MOVIN ON UP had an amazing 43-9-9-9 $190K season last year but hasn't been off to

the same start in 2023 - he does ship in from Chester looking pretty sharp, and may be good enough right

now to make an aggressive try hold up - possibility. (4) VENIER HANOVER benefited from a beautiful

trip 2 back but was also very sharp in victory- had no real chance last week trying to rally from 7th, but was

still pretty close at the wire....could be a threat with a better trip tonight. (3) BETTORBUCKLEUP raced

better than the line looks 2 back (he had to grab up in the stretch) then gave it a big go in his last, losing out

to a razor sharp STELLAR YANKEE - might have been the top pick here if not for the sick scratch, and 3

weeks off. (1) FOREVER FAV had some issue on 7/3 and had to be eased up - qualified back effectively 4

days later, but has to be seen as at least a bit iffy at the moment. (6) SO MANY ROADS normally gives

holes to everybody else so it was sad to see him left out on the rim when he actually floated off the gate last

week - he still lost by less than 2 lengths, and is probably ready for a big effort...tough spot tonight, though.

(7) ROLLING WITH SAM was sharp 2 back arriving from Monti but struggled with a tough trip (up in

class) last week - hard to like his chances tonight starting from Post 7.


RACE 4 - (4) GOLDEN QUEST N exits the barns of a couple of our most successful women trainers but

lands in yet another - has to be accorded the edge here off her long string of very sharp efforts! (1) OURLI

TTLEMIRACLE was a bit disappointing upon arrival from PA but raced a lot better last week - draws best,

and could be the main danger. (2) COWGIRL LILLY is listed as the 9/5 ML choice but debuts tonight for a

barn that's 1 for 86 (NJ and NJ) since June 1 - she MAY beat these, but clearly there's no value using her

on top right now. (6) MICHELLES JAZZ has been "ok" with decent stock out of town and should fit well

with the locals - at 20-1 ML, she seems like a good one to use underneath in exotics (3) VICIOUS CIRCLE

raced ok here at times in the past, though hasn't been here in some time - she's been facing cheaper out of

town, but may still be able to pick up a small slice with an easy trip (5) SAUBLE DELIGHTFUL improved

2 back when 2nd, but was just an "ok" 3rd last week - can pick up another small piece if things go her way.

(7) DREAM DANCING is hard to gauge off her Ohio lines but she lands in a brutal spot upon arrival.


RACE 5 - Good race! (3) YOROKOBI N was never put in play by Siegelman last week but still charged

home full of pace, just missing 3rd while not far off 2nd - he's shown ability in all 5 starts since arriving in

the U.S. and maybe he'll land on the winning trip in this wide open affair. (2) SLING SHOCK was a big

earner at 2 and 3 but has struggled to get his 4YO campaign into gear - the ability is clearly there, and he

just re-qualified after re-adding Lasix - worth considering IF the price is decent. (1) PEACE OUT POSSE

wins more than his share of races for a barn that wins way more than their share of starts - has plenty of

speed from the pole, and deserves plenty of respect. (4) PHOENIX OF FLUZZY comes into this off a trip

of 2nd place finishes behind 3 very sharp winners - the fact that he's listed this far down is an indication of

how sharp most of this field is right now. (6) LOUS SWEETREVENGE loves to win races and will surely

appreciate the class drop - that being said, he may end up a little too far back to threaten for the top slot. (5)

MONTANA STORM N makes his U.S. debut for a trainer that hasn't raced much over the past 3 years, but

has a long history of successful imports - perhaps the tote board will offer a clearer picture of this one's

chances. Both (7) KINGSVILLE and (8) DELIGHTFUL DUDE N likely need class drops and better posts.


RACE 6 - (4) UP THE CREEK moved to the Dynamic Duo two back and went a strong effort, used hard

before coming up 2nd best to a game front end winner- was sent off at 1/10 last week against a softer group

and while he was a safe winner, he didn't exactly dominate...he's still the choice but be careful about betting

the rent money at another miniscule price. (6) FUGLEMAN has become a very consistent weekly player

against these types of fields - he draws poorly (again) while also losing Bartlett this week, so we'll see if

Dube can find him a manageable trip. (2) MAYWEATHER HANOVER showed little in either YR start but

he'll go without Lasix tonight and that can sometimes be a positive angle - we'll see if he's any better here.

(1) HUNTSVILLE PLACE has gone some good miles here in the past but has been off form lately, and

Lasix hasn't helped him (so far) - needs a bounce-back mile. (3) DELESTON was overdriven 2 back but

just came up no good at all in his last - seems capable of better, but not sure what we'll get from him

tonight. (5) PINK FLOYD HANOVER has used ground saving trips to pick up small pieces - 3rd/4th?


RACE 7 - (6) HURRIKANE JONNYBOY only raced 4X at 2 and 3 but he's starting to drop in the box

regularly as a 4YO, and there's definitely some ability here - faces a bit of an uncertain trip starting from a

bad post (and likely between a pair of other leavers) but IF Dube can find him a decent trip, he may be able

to pull off a mild upset. (7) LOUS THE ATTITUDE has 6 local starts, was favored in 5 of them, and has 3

wins and 3 seconds to his credit - he was an easy wire to wire winner last week (at 1/10!) and is still the one

to knock off....but MAY be a just a bit more vulnerable from this spot. (5) ALL ALONE hadn't really

clicked for his current connections since the April barn change but he did look very good rallying for 3rd

last week - he may get a much more aggressive steer tonight, and COULD be a legitimate threat. (4) COUN

TER OFFER had good pace finishing the last 2 weeks, figures to be a good price, and may be able to rally

for another share tonight. (2) FRANCO NANDOR N has been solid for a few starts, and chased nicely for

2nd in his last (behind #7) - a good trip could land him a spot somewhere on the ticket. (1) AMBITIOUSB

EACHBOY has the speed to work out a decent close up trip...we'll see if he's good enough to be around at

the end, as well. (3) WE SHALL SEA finally had a clean mile last week and finished up ok for 3rd - maybe

he can build off that?


RACE 8 - (8) BACKSTREET SHADOW went some insanely good miles in the Borgata Series but clearly

has been struggling of late - hard to NOT go with him on top against this bunch, but also not a spot to be

betting the mortgage money. (3) MACHEASY A has a good history of outracing his odds, including his

last 3 starts - always a good one for exotics. (2) EUPHORIA N gets both post and class relief, is listed at

12-1 ML and may come up with a much better effort this week. (5) LOUS BEACH has been a solid player

at this level and likely will be in the hunt tonight, as well - one of many potential players in here. (1) JMS

FINAL TREASURE was a good 2nd shipping in from The Meadows but a dull 5th last week - can be a

player IF the good version shows up again, (4) WOLFTRAX sharpened in KY after exiting those KYSS

races - he goes for a new barn here, and it's anybody's guess as to how he'll fit with these. (7) JAHAN

HANOVER drops to a winning level, but will likely have to wait for a better starting spot. (6) THREE IN

HEAVEN A rallied for 2nd last week, but with a beautiful trip vs. much easier - much tougher spot now.


RACE 9 - Tough race: (3) C BET HANOVER must have mostly fair wins at 2 and 3 if he stills fits this

NW6PM class (he has 14 wins) - he's been holding his own against some pretty classy older foes in his

recent starts, and may find this class move right up his alley. (5) MY MIKI BEACH hit board in all 7 starts

this year but only one was a victory - hard to leave him out of exotics, but he needs to be a decent price to

use for the top spot. (1) ONTOP RAINMAN was a bell backed, sharp winner over cheaper 2 back then

really had no chance to pace last week - he figures to be a pretty good price tonight (even from the pole),

and MAY be able to make some late noise with the right trip. (2) MORE THAN YA KNOW disappointed

when 3rd in his first local try, was a good 2nd the next week (behind #7) then picked up a win out of town

last week - the right trip could put him right in the hunt. (6) IM HUNGRY has won 5 of 10 starts this year

but a couple of those wins were all-out at very short prices - he's a legitimate threat for sure, but may not

offer the best value starting from Post 6. (4) TWO FACED hasn't won in a long time and likely looking at

only a minor share once more.


RACE 10 - (1) CHUPPAH ON ended up with an unlucky trip (in an unusually run race) and the best she

could do was 3rd - she's clearly the one to beat from this good spot...but she's also just 2 for 18 this year so

try not to fall too much in love with her. (6) HP XANADU has been very consistent for weeks, and does fit

nicely with this bunch- hopefully Stratton has taken notice of her good form and gives her a chance, despite

the bad post...she'll have a chance in here with a live trip. (4) WILDCAT ANTONIA beat a soft division of

this class at even money on 6/20 but then reverted to bad habits and made miscues in her next pair - clearly

she comes in two versions...if the "good" one shows up, she can be a legitimate player. (5) FLIP THE SCRI

PT was used a bit early on last week, got shuffled back then found her stride too late for a better piece - she

has her moments, and can grab a piece if the trip goes her way. (3) HARMONY OF NOTES shipped in

sharp from NJ but has acted a notch below these in her 2 local tries - needs to be better if she hopes to have

a say tonight. (2) KAITLYN N failed to beat a single rival last week and is just one of many from this barn

that have gone south (in a big way) since the beginning of June - waiting for better signs. (7) CORAL BEL

LA doesn't seem anywhere near sharp enough to be much of a threat from out here.


RACE 11 - (2) ROCKINFORREAL was shuffled out with no chance in his local debut but was handled

aggressively from Post 7 last week and was a solid 2nd best - the inside draw may give him the edge he

needs over his main rivals tonight. (5) END GAME showed nothing in his first couple of career starts at

Dover in March - resurfaced for a new barn 3 months later, and has looked much better in his last couple at

Chester, showing speed and making moves - should be able to have a say in his YR debut. (4) PINE BUSH

MONSTAH seemed to be coming around, landed a beautiful trip last week but hung badly from the top of

the lane - loses Bartlett now, and will need to be better to seriously threaten for the top prize. (7) SILK

ROAD didn't show much as a 2YO - has looked a bit better at 3, but has only been able to pick up a 2nd

and a pair of 3rds from 6 NW1 starts in PA - won't help drawing Post 7 for his local debut. (3) CLEVELA

ND B MIKI picked up five 3rds from his first 9 starts in PA but was no threat in his first local try - maybe

3rd/4th? (1) PAGE SIX is the first 2YO we've seen here this year - we'll just watch, for now. (6) BRADY

ROCKS is 7-0-0-0 to start his career, and draws poorly for his first local start of the year.


RACE 12 - (2) LOOTABLE returns from KY where he had mixed efforts in a trio of Sire Stakes events -

he recently finished 4th in the NJSS Final, after a pair of 2nds in NW2 races at PcD - have to believe he'll

be a good fit here, with a chance to take the finale. (3) ONE CRAZY GUY has been pretty consistent ever

since learning to relax a bit more - just missed last week, and did win here 4 back - legitimate player. (4)

CANT SWAY ME is 0 for 14 this year and 1 for 23 overall...that being said, he did race well for 2nd last

week behind a sharp (import) winner - we'll see if he can continue to improve. (5) EVERYBODYLOVES

LOU is always part of the action but he's just 1 for 18 and has struggled to finish well enough in a bunch of

starts - prefer to use him underneath, although he CAN win here. (8) T DOG is probably as good as

anybody in here but starts from Post 8 with his owner/trainer on board - just make sure to get a good price

if considering him on top. (1) BEST BETTOR is 0 for 21 this year and 1 for 48 lifetime...he CAN tow

along for a piece from a spot like this, though. (7) UNDER YOUR SCARS was well backed for his first

YR start, was driven aggressively and safely beat a lesser bunch - will be a lot tougher starting from Post 7

tonight, but would hardly be a shock. (6) PINE BUSH ITALIANO could do little wrong at 3...but can't

seem to get going at all at 4!

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