Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • August 8, 2023

The Empire Report - Tuesday, August 8, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - Tough opener! (6) PRAY THE ROSARY has been an afterthought for at least the past 2 years

but she showed some subtle life 2 back and actually rallied for 2nd in her last - it's a short field, she's listed

at 20-1 ML, and the "main" players in here are unreliable, at best - maybe the week to take a shot with her?

(3) LITTLEBEARCAT got caught behind a tiring leader in her local debut and it's hard to say how badly it

hurt her - she may just be too cheap....but she may also be worth a look tonight at the right price. (5) TRIZZ

LE TRAZZLE is by far the most reliable of these, but wasn't at her best off the claim last week - the most

"likely" winner in here, but hard to get excited about a wager when she's listed at 6/5 on the ML. (2) A

CRAFTY LADY often "figures" on paper but she's 1 for 26 at YR over the last 3 years and hard to play at a

short price. (4) NORMANS MADELINE fails to get a check far more often than she wins, but her dramatic

form reversals do come a few times a year - never impossible. (1) SHORTYS GIRL is hard to gauge off all

those amateur lines but she just seems to be on the cheaper side, regardless.


RACE 2 - (5) HP XANADU dropped down to this level last week and came up with a sharp victory (even

if helped by a quitting leader entering the stretch) - she's far from a cinch to repeat, but she does remain the

one to knock off. (6) TUGGINGONCREDIT is used to facing better and will surely appreciate the class

relief - she's also just 1 for 24 on the year, so be careful about taking a short price on top (if she's your

choice). (3) NUTTINBUTHEBEST usually prefers to race on/near the lead so it could be a good sign that

she raced well from off the pace the last 2 starts- that 2-1 ML price does take away from her appeal, though

(4) SWEET SANDY LOU is another that should appreciate tonight's class drop...though she probably

never should have been in 50s in the first place. (1) JOSSIE JAMES A had some ugly preps heading into

last week so it was nice to at least see her "functional" - still not ready to hop on her team, however. (2)

SHOTGUN PERSUASION was claimed for $12,500, folded to last in for $20K and now drops in for $25K.


RACE 3 - (8) DREAMFAIR ARNIE B has really blossomed as a 4YO and recently just missed in the

Graduate Final - he was very good in his local debut last week, finishing right there 3rd vs. good older

pacers (in a 1:51.3 mile) and should be able to handle this NW8 bunch....even from Post 8. (4) MY MIKI

BEACH comes into this off a pair of dead game victories and will surely be using his speed to grab a good

trip tonight - solid chance to land on the ticket. (5) SEVEN HUNDRED banked $144K at 3 and finally

seems to be getting his 4YO season in gear - as long as Buter can find him a decent trip here, he can grab a

nice chunk of this. (2) JUST BET IT ALL threw a big clunker is his Adios elimination but bounced back to

just miss to #4 last week - no reason he can't be right in the hunt tonight. (1) MORE THAN YA KNOW

hasn't found the winner's circle here at Yonkers but he did hit board in all 4 starts - draws the pole, and he's

among those with a chance to land somewhere in the exotics. (6) FROZEN HANOVER has ability for sure,

but lands in a tough spot debuting locally for his new barn - he'll likely just be road tested tonight, but keep

an eye for future consideration. (7) JK GOING WEST probably needs a much better post in an easier field

to be a serious player. (3) EMINEM HANOVER has struggled in his 2 local starts.


RACE 4 - Solid field! (4) COWGIRL LILLY has hit board in ALL 18 local starts this year...and it surely

was no surprise to see her in the winner's circle last week after being reunited with her favorite trainer - it'll

be tougher to get there tonight, but she still deserves top billing. (6) OURLITTLEMIRACLE may be

overlooked here as she draws all the way outside of some strong weekly players...but she raced very well

for her new barn last week and definitely has a chance to outrace her odds with a bit of trip luck. (3) GOLD

EN QUEST N has hit board in 14 of 16 Yonkers starts and gets a total pass for last week (impossible trip

from Post 8) - should be much better tonight from this spot, and will surely make some noise, at some point

(1) MIKI ROSE had trouble getting untracked this year....then rattled off 4 straight before landing her own

terrible trip last week - she's another that will be much tougher tonight with the much kinder draw! (1) AMI

NI shipped in sharp from Tioga last week and promptly completed the exacta behind the top choice - she

did benefit from the misfortune of other main players, though, and we'll see how she does tonight if not as

fortunate. (5) MCANGEL was close in her YR debut but still feels a bit below the strong mares in here.


RACE 5 - (4) GABE HANOVER has been a player every start lately up at Plainridge - he catches a pretty

uninspiring field of locals for his YR debut, and may respond to the live set of hands that will be steering

him tonight - worth a shot against these. (6) TRAIN STATION figured to have a decent chance off the big

class drop last week - he also figured to be underdriven, and both of these things proved true - he has the

ability to beat these, but will need his young pilot to put him in play in order to do so. (8) LOUIE HANOV

ER draws Post 8 for his first local try but he has a couple of recent wins at the PA fairs, and moves to a barn

that can improve one in a hurry - hard to NOT give him a look at that 20-1 ML price. (3) SILK ROAD

caught a soft bunch in his YR debut and easily outran them - tired badly in his next, however, and we'll see

if he can bounce right back from that. (2) UNDER YOUR SCARS beat a NW1 field in his local debut but

was no factor at all in his next pair - he does move inside tonight, and can definitely be a bigger player here

- ok to include underneath. (1) KID DID IT used his good gate speed to grab pocket trips in his last pair -

only to tire badly each time - needs to find a lot more stamina in the final quarter of a mile. (5) BAD COLT

ships in with a 1 for 21 record and that's facing lesser all along - new barn, but not ready to hop on his team

(7) BEST BETTOR draws post 7 and sports an 0 for 37 Yonkers slate.


RACE 6 - Tough race! (2) SHINE A LIGHT had no prayer from Post 8 last week but moves inside for

tonight, and generally holds his own with better than these - hard to predict how this race will play out but

IF he lands on a decent trip, he can be a dangerous player. (3) NUTTIN BUT FINESSE has gone some

pretty good miles here in the past, and returns from Stga. off a nice front end score - fits well with these,

and looms a legitimate threat. (6) YOROKOBI N finishes with good pace every week, even from terrible

spots - if he ends up in striking position as they turn for home, he does have a chance at the upset. (1) JUD

DY DOUGLAS A will surely use his speed from the pole to secure a good trip....but he does seem to do

better work with a bit easier, and seems more likely to take home a smaller prize, rather than the top one.

(7) JMS FINAL TREASURE has a couple of good recent starts and does fit with these - finding him a trip

from out here will be the hard part. (5) CARLISIMO usually races well in his local appearances but his 2

for 31 record (last 3 years) makes him hard to take on top unless a pretty good price. (4) DEEP INFATUAT

ION N has raced well (overall) in his 4 U.S. starts but does seem better suited against a bit easier. (8) HEC

ANDANCENCRUISE had an adventurous trip last week - he could be sitting on a big mile, but may need

to wait for a better spot to unleash it.


RACE 7 - (1) SOUTHWIND PETYR is a proven winner against better than these - he was actually a big

"go" last week and raced very well to be a close 4th, despite a less than stellar trip - he gets to call the shots

tonight, and he's the one they'll have to catch and beat. (4) MR PERFECT N raced very well in all 3 local

starts (even when 6th from a hopeless spot 2 back) - he's sharp enough to win, but the top choice probably

will have a big tactical advantage over him. (5) BUDDY HILL was able to pick up live cover on the back

side last week, then charged home in the lane to beat a bit cheaper - he's more than classy enough to handle

the class jump, but drawing outside a pair of main foes won't help. (2) KINGSVILLE never got involved

from the back last week racing off a sick scratch - he'll be closer to the action tonight, with a chance for a

small share. (3) REAL PEACE was claimed here for $40K on 4/10 but then took 3 months off - raced well

(in NJ) in his first start back, but then was no factor last week - mixed feelings. (7) THE REAL ONE will

be coming from last....and that'll make it tough for him to pick up more than a minor share. (6) GENIUS

MAN needs a class drop and better post.


RACE 8 - (5) ROCKIN MARTY A was "sneaky good" 2 back - made a silly leave attempt from Post 8

last week (at 70-1!) and did stick around to the top of the lane before tiring to last - this is a MUCH better

spot for him to try to be aggressive, and perhaps he can upset a couple of iffy favorites. (3)

WALKINSHAW N is not allowed to take a double drop tonight, the race was actually written just to fit him

in - he would normally stand out from a spot like this, but his last couple have hinted that he may be a bit

off his game right now - could go either way. (2) ROLLING WITH SAM put in a good first over move last

week, finishing 2nd best to the (classy) horse he did all the heavy lifting for - a similar effort makes him a

player here. (4) IMSTAYNALIVE has been finishing well in all of his recent miles and will probably do the

same tonight - on the flip side, he's 0 for 15 this year, and only 2 for 27 here in 2022 - more likely to grab a

smaller piece, than a bigger one. (1) MONTANA STORM N hasn't really impressed in his 3 U.S. starts, but

he hasn't been bad either - the jury is still out on this one. (6) BELMONT MAJOR N ships in off a front

end Stga. win but he's just 8-0-0-1 here over the last 2 seasons (albeit vs. better) - would have liked his

chances much more from a better post.


RACE 9 - (3) AMERICAN MERCURY has transformed since being acquired by the Super Siblings and

continues his march back towards the Open ranks - tonight's stop is in NW15000....and if he's anywhere

close to the way he was the last 3 starts, the others will be racing for 2nd money. (2) SAMHARA N has

been very good lately, but he weakened to 5th last week after a very tough trip - gets a good draw, a new

pilot, and may be able to complete the exacta this week. (1) EL LE TISSIER has raced well/very well more

often than not since arriving in the U.S. - gets a class drop here, moves all the way in from Post 8, and

could easily outperform his 9-1 ML price. (4) SON OF A TIGER N is in overall good form, figures to be a

good price, and may be able to add some value to the tris and supers. (5) SOHO LENNON A was sneaky

sharp two back so last week's 8-1 payoff was definitely an overlay - the right trip could land him a piece of

this. (6) LAYTON HANOVER has plenty of talent when on his best game but he's missed a month, draws

poorly, and is listed at 5/2 ML - may be a bit vulnerable tonight. (7) ALEX TYE is the outsider...both

literally and figuratively.


RACE 10 - (6) TRAFALGAR was our play from Post 8 last week and she reported home a juicy 9-1

winner - her price will come down tonight and she may end up with a tougher trip...but she's still getting

top billing. (1) FEELIN RED HOT has proven mortal since landing in this class but she's still a major

threat every start....it's that 6/5 ML price that makes her hard to endorse on top. (5) PURAMERI has added

consistency to her game, hitting board in her last 3 at this level - chance to land on the ticket once again. (2)

ACEFOURTYFOUR ALEX doesn't feel like a threat to WIN here, but she can certainly race better than

that 20-1 ML price suggests - good one for 3rd/4th. (7) DREAM DANCING raced best when she just sat

back and was allowed to kick home late - that's the trip she'll get tonight, and she may be able to parlay

that into a small slice. (3) PAIGES GIRL grabbed a 3rd last week but almost all because of the trip - may

not be as fortunate tonight. (4) HARMONY OF NOTES has one 2nd from her 4 local starts and just seems

to need a bit easier to be a weekly player.


RACE 11 - (7) STRENGTHANDHONOR N shows lines in NJ that would make him a solid player against

these - the draw is the obvious concern, but a good price makes him worth a stab. (3) CENTURY INSPEC

TOR has only 5 starts this year but the 4YO has looked sharp in his last pair - may be ready to contend for

the top prize here. (2) ALL ALONE still hasn't won since joining the Dynamic Duo at the end of April, but

he's definitely a good fit here - possibility. (1) CHURCHVIEWFRANKL IR is hard to fault off his 3 starts

in this country - he's facing tougher now, but it would hardly be a surprise if he was up for it. (8) ONE

CRAZY GUY didn't embarrass himself stepping up in class last week but does face a daunting task starting

from Post 8 against these. (5) AMBITIOUSBEACHBOY is probably a bit below the main players right

now but he does get a driver switch, and may race a bit better - maybe 3rd/4th? (4) RAYRAY has gone

some good miles here but does seem a bit cheaper than the top ones. (6) HOT SHOT JOE was no factor at

all from a similarly tough spot last week.

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