Wednesday Empire Report

soaofny • May 19, 2021

The Empire Report - Wednesday, May 19, 2021 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (2) INDUSTRIAL HEMP shows a pair of useful preps in NJ, and catches a pretty unexciting

bunch for her career debut - her dam is much older now (23!) but was an excellent producer back in her

younger days - never a need to worry if this barn will be ready to race right out of the box, and this filly

will be the heavy choice to win at first asking. (6) SOUTHERN WOMAN was in a good spot 2 back when

she blew the final turn - appeared loaded in the pocket much of the way last week but came up surprisingly

empty at the end (maybe shut off her air a bit?) - seems like a decent one to use looking for some value in

the exotics. (1) ROLL WITH SHORTY failed to impress as a 2YO but won her qua. returning at 3, then

finished well at the end last week for the show DH - good spot for even more improvement. (3) PATTY JO

M was part of that show DH with #1 last time, finishing well herself - another with a decent chance to pick

up a good piece here. (7) VILLAGE JADE has been facing cheapies at Fhd. but finishing her miles well -

terrible draw for her YR debut but gets Dube, and will be a price - ok to include underneath. (4) SANGRIA

JULIE is 0 for 15 but has 6 thirds - suppose it's possible she can grab a minor share. (5) ROCKIN GOOD

TIME will need to improve on her current form for a chance at even a share


RACE 2 - (1) MOSSDALE LOTTEE N was just getting on a really good roll last November when sent to

the sidelines after a sick scratch - returned 5 months later with a very sharp 2nd here, made a break trying to

leave in her next but rebounded immediately with last week's sharp, lifetime best 1:52.3 victory - she'll face

tougher now, but the guess is that she can handle these too. (2) GALLERIA GAL always gets bet, always

"figures", and almost always races very well - logically the main danger, but note that she's just 2 for 13

locally (despite all the good efforts). (3) MAN DONTFORGET ME is another that's been a player in most

of her local starts....but she's 0 for 12 here at the Hilltop - surely belongs in your exotics, though. (5)

MOANING LISA was not into that first over trip at all last week, but she does seem to always rally solidly

when allowed to just relax for much of the way - use for 3rd. (6) P L NELLY really benefited from saving

ground last week, but may not get as kind a trip tonight - likely looking at only a minor share. (4) SPECIAL

ACHIEVER was sharp here a couple of months ago but may have leveled off a bit (despite the good efforts

vs. lesser at Monti) - a few in here just look more appealing.


RACE 3 - (4) ROBMOTION BLUECHIP is worth a look here - she raced ok in both local tries, should be

a better price than that 3-1 ML would suggest and while she's 1 for 33 lifetime, most of the others sport

some pretty poor win % as well - one of several capable of taking this wide open affair. (7) SUNSHINE

HALL is hard to love off that last start at Chester, but she's raced well here several times, and is listed at

20-1 ML - definitely not the greatest on turns, but good enough to still consider at a big price. (1) CHART

TOPPER seems a bit cheap but she did win her last at Tioga, draws the rail with Zeron, and this is a pretty

vulnerable bunch - consider. (3) PARTY QUEEN has shown little to get excited about since returning at 3

but she does figure to perk up one of these nights - hard to get excited about a wager as the 9/5 ML choice,

though! (2) BEAUTY BAYAMA has yet to really impress in her 4 local tries and is 1 for 24 lifetime -

probably no worse than any of the others, though, and not impossible at all. (6) J M BETTING HEARTS

was no good 2 back and even worse in last - pass until we see some better signs from her


RACE 4 - (8) SHANIA BLUE CHIP was a bit short making her 3YO debut in a Reynolds division but still

finished 2nd to the heavy favorite - have to believe Zeron will at least look to improve position and put her

in play here, and she'll have a chance to beat these if that happens...at a decent price. (1) DELIGHTFUL Z

TAM has won 2 of her last 3 while rallying for 2nd (to the heavy favorite) in the others - she's definitely

sharp now, and deserves a spot on your tickets from the pole. (2) OLIVIA BLU had a pair of sharp preps in

NJ for her career debut - she won right off the bat at Chester, but her win was just "ok" - was sent off as the

1/5 choice here in her next start, but took way too long to find her stride and could go by the rank outsider

at the end - she MAY show up with a much better effort tonight and crush these...but at another very short

price, it may not be a bad idea to take a chance against her. (3) NORTH COUNTRY beat an Excelsior B

field here at 2 - looked sharp since returning at 3, and arrives from Stga. off a pair of easy wins - possible!

(4) UPTOWN CALLIE was a solid 3rd last week and has a chance for another small piece tonight if the

trip is easy enough. (7) LETS ROAR showed some ability in Canada at 2 but the guess is that she'll need a

start, and likely race conservatively from Post 7 in her 3YO return. (5) MISS TANGO was no factor in her

only YR start and is just 1 for 15 - prefer others. (6) LOUND BRAZILIAN was no factor in either local try


RACE 5 - (6) P L KETCHUP cut a quick quarter before yielding last week then eventually weakened in

the stretch after chasing a very hot pace - this spot is somewhat easier, the pace should be kinder, and he'll

have a solid chance to come out on top. (2) LIFE WELL LIVED ships in sharp from Pocono and he's won

races here in the past - figures to be in the pocket (or on top), and is likely the main danger. (5) MISS YOU

KELLY has struggled to find her game for a while but came up with a much better effort last week - if she

can build on that, she can have a decent say here. (4) NEW YORK CHAPTER has raced "ok" in 3 local

tries, though never a serious player - license to grab a small piece with a similar effort tonight. (7)

BROWNIE landed on a no chance trip from the back last week but wasn't terrible - gets stuck in another

bad spot here, but may be able to rally for a piece...with some trip luck. (1) SEVEN KNIGHTS would

normally be a legit threat from a spot like this but he just hasn't been any good in any of his recent local

starts - needs to find a much better effort if he hopes to be in the game here. (3) KEYSTONE ORION

seems cheap, and was no threat at all last week arriving from NJ.


RACE 6 - (3) SUMMER RAE was handled aggressively 2 back and looked like she was going to deliver

the 15-1 victory....until the winner flew through the stretch like she was shot out of a cannon and ran her

down late - raced first over in her next and took over into the stretch...only to get run down by the sharp

favorite that sat to her back - this is a pretty solid NW4 field, but she's sharp enough right to beat these. (1)

CITY BY THE BAY was no factor at all in her first NJ try for new connections - shipped in to YR and sat

behind the hot favorite...blowing her away easily once they hit the homestretch - definitely a license to

repeat from the pole. (6) HEART OF MINE earned $131K at 2 - won her 3YO return qua. at Chester, beat a

NW2 field here as the 1/10 choice, then easily handled a (soft) Reynolds division in her next - probably the

one to beat here, but maybe with the outside draw she'll be at least a bit vulnerable? (2) WAKEMESHA

KEME added Lasix 3 back but was content to just hang in the back in her first 2 tries, finishing full of pace

in both - was handled more aggressively last time but just wasn't nearly as sharp, a no-threat 3rd at the end -

not writing her off just yet, and the price will be decent for those looking to stay on board tonight. (4) WOO

DMERE HARRIET finished nicely after just sitting in the back last time - chance for a small piece here

with a ground saving trip. (5) CHELSKI did some damage in a bunch of her early starts here (vs. cheaper)

but has leveled off as the competition has increased - not impossible, but a few others just seem better. (7)

AVAYA HANOVER has raced well here a few times but the terrible draw figures to limit her options for

tonight. (8) FLIRTY FORTY draws Post 8 off a month - pass for tonight.


RACE 7 - We're going to give (2) HOMER HALL one more chance...although he may not deserve one --

was used hard early to secure the lead last week, opened up a big lead to 3/4s but fell apart late, and had to

settle for 3rd - his barn's struggles have been well documented and it's pretty hard to bet anything they send

out at a short price...but it's still hard to imagine him losing in this spot. (6) CASINO CUTIE IT is only 1

for 14 here (last 3 years) but still seems to be the main danger, should the top one fail to deliver - ships in

off a pair of solid tries in NJ and PA, gets Zeron, and figures to be backed more heavily than that 7-1 ML

price would suggest. (1) LIMERENCE hasn't been on his best game but still figures to be able to take home

a good piece from this spot. (7) URSIS DES CAILLONS was one of the 24 French trotters shipped over

here 3 years ago and the (now) 13YO is still competing...and still winning races - may be a little on the

cheaper side but at 20-1 ML, he's worth using underneath. (4) MIGHTY SURF was just 2 for 32 here in

2019-20 but she's been doing good work lately down in Florida, and might be able to land a minor share in

her return to YR. (5) KING CAST can be extremely unreliable from week to week but when in the right

mood, he can beat several of these - willing to throw in for 3rd. (3) CR BLAZIN BEAUTY just seems a bit

cheap and is hard to endorse, even with the good draw. (8) TOTAL DIVA picked up a pair of recent 2nds at

this level but seems unlikely to get involved from all the way out here - drops to NW5000 next week


RACE 8 - (2) HIGH ROLLING A has only been in this cheap once this year and she was a very easy

winner - been stuck in a series of tough spots vs. better lately, and she should really appreciate tonight's

drop - the one to beat. (4) ANNE BONNEY N was handled aggressively (vs. better) in her last 2 starts but

wasn't up for it all - she's a logical threat dropping to the bottom class here, but she'll need to be a lot

sharper than she has been to have a chance to take this. (3) THREEDEE DELIGHT A tried an ill fated

quarter move last week and was basically done by the 3rd turn - a more patient steer tonight should yield a

much better result. (5) MORE THAN MANY went that eye popping mile on 3/3 when she won from Post 8

(at 5/2!) off the barn change -- but hasn't visited the winner's circle since, and is now back to picking up

smaller pieces at this bottom level (having since changed hands again a few weeks back) - probably looking

at more of the same tonight. (1) FULL DECK didn't really elevate her game vs. cheapies at Fhd. after the

barn change 2 back, and she's only 3 for 41 lifetime - prefer others, at least until she shows she can go with

these. (7) DEUCES FOR CHARITY has lost 66 straight races here over the past 3 years, and the streak is

likely longer than that - maybe can beat a few weak ones? (6) TYRONBETTORSELLA N is 33-1-1-3 here

over the last 3 years. (8) SWEET YOU is 17-0-0-0 here in 2020-21


RACE 9 - Good race: (3) WHETHER OR NOT FI did some good work here last winter after shipping in

from Ohio before getting up a little too high in class - made a break at PcD 3 back racing off a bad date, but

was much better in his next, then jogged in his last (after dropping down in class) - should be returning to

YR feeling pretty confident, and the right trip could help him make his local return a winning one. (2)

WARRAWEE SHIPSHAPE was a solid winner here upon arrival from Ohio - weakened in his next 2 but

bounced back with a sharp mile in last, rallying stoutly for 2nd in a quick mile - could offer some value

tonight. (1) FOMOR wasn't all that impressive in his first dozen local starts but he came up with a form

reversing blowout win 2 back, then followed that up with another front end score in last - steps up another

peg, but too sharp right now to ignore. (5) CHIEF JUSTICE turned in 3 solid efforts since returning from

NJ, and it's good to finally see some consistency from him - chance for another good piece tonight. (6)

KANDY SWEET hinted at a return form recently and finally put it all together with last week's 1:55 score -

not sure he'll have as easy a trip against this tougher crew, though. (4) MUFASAAS got lost at the back last

week but gets some post relief tonight, and may be able to rally late for a minor piece. (8) NORTHERN

SKYWAY has been racing well out of town but may have trouble getting involved from out here. (7)

TORKIL came to life 3 back after a lengthy cold spell. but is forced to move up without having been able

to BEAT cheaper - tough to recommend from Post 7 against these.



RACE 10 - (4) TOPVILLE OLYMPIAN lagged at the back most of the way last week (Post 8, off a bad

date and qualifier) but definitely was pacing with interest as he came across the wire - was looking forward

to giving him a shot this week...but that 2-1 ML price has drained some of the enthusiasm - make sure he's

not overbet before using on top! (3) LAREDO TORPEDO N returned from a layoff with a sharp win at

Chester (at 8/5) but then caused an accident the following week - would think that he came away in good

shape since he's back in the box just 10 days later, and clearly the ability is there IF there are no mishaps!

(5) ZIGGY SKY never fired last week but it was just a weird race where almost NOBODY fired - on his

best, he can be a threat here. (7) ZACH MAGUIRE N raced well in back to back starts and would have

been mentioned much higher had he not drawn so far outside - still a decent one to use if the price is pretty

juicy. (2) REAGANS AVENGER put in a decent first over try last week before weakening late - another

that can get a look if the price is good enough. (8) ART NUKEM isn't bad right now, but faces an uphill

battle trying to get into the action from out here. (1) NOCH TEN draws best but seems cheap and didn't

function in his only local try. (6) WINNING LINC will reverse form and deliver a big mile one of these

nights - no reason to think it'll be tonight, though.


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